New England Patriots Super Bowl Odds Update

Written By Caleb Tallman on December 8, 2022
Four Patriots made DraftKings all-decade team

The New England Patriots have now lost two games in a row and are watching any chance of making the playoffs slip away. Last week, an ugly loss to the Buffalo Bills saw the offense return to its low-scoring ways. Offensive play caller Matt Patricia has been put in the spotlight for his lack of explosive play calls. The defense played well, considering how much the unit had to be on the field against one of the NFL’s best offenses. 

A game at Arizona is up next and is almost must-win territory if New England wants a chance to make the playoffs. The Cardinals are coming off a bye week and should be fresh and ready to roll. The offense will need to score more this week as the Cardinals have an explosive offensive unit and will pose a stiff test for New England’s defense.

New England’s future odds have taken a dip. Let’s take a look at how the loss and New Englands’ challenging schedule has hurt the Patriot’s Super Bowl odds:

New England Patriots Super Bowl Odds

The Patriots began the 2022-23 NFL season with odds of +8000 to win the Super Bowl. Their odds have shifted week after week, and here’s how they currently stack up on multiple Massachusetts sportsbooks:

Sportsbook Patriots Super Bowl Odds
DraftKings+13000
FanDuel+12000
Caesars+15000
BetMGM+15000
PointsBet+12500

Coming off their second Thursday loss in a row, New England has Super Bowl odds ranging from +10000 to +15000 at multiple sportsbooks. The best value is +15000, available at Caesars and BetMGM.

Also read: Super Bowl Betting Guide For Massachusetts

Updated Week 14 New England Patriots Team Futures

SportsbookPatriots AFC ChampionshipPatriots AFC East Division ChampionshipPatriots Season Win Totals
DraftKings+6000+80008.5 wins over (+160) / under (-200)
FanDuel+5000+90008.5 wins over (+150) / under (-175)
Caesars+8000+100008.5 wins over (+160) / under (-179)
BetMGM+8000+100008.5 wins over (+150) / under (-185)
PointsBet+6600+80008.5 wins over (+150) / under (-180)

New England’s odds of winning the AFC championship have gotten worse, and for the first time all year, the Patriots’ odds of winning the AFC East division are worse than their odds of winning the AFC championship. 

The best value play for New England to win the AFC championship is +8000 at Caesar’s and BetMGM. The best value for winning the AFC East is +10000 at Caesar’s and BetMGM. 

As far as win totals go, the number sits at 8.5, with the best value for the over at +160 at DraftKing’s and Caesar’s. The best value on the under is at FanDuel, which is -175.

New England’s defense is one of the NFL’s best, but the offense has been incredibly inconsistent this season. That has led to several ugly losses. When the offense plays well, New England can beat any team in the NFL. The Patriots need to find a way to get the offense going. If that doesn’t happen immediately, the Pats won’t make the playoffs. 

Also read: Encore Boston Harbor Sold For $1.7 Billion

Patriots Week 14 Betting Odds

  • Patriots: 6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 5-7 O/U
  • Cardinals: 4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS,  6-4-2 O/U
SportsbookSpreadMoneylineTotal (Over/Under)
DraftKingsPatriots -2.5 (-105)
Cardinals +2.5 (-115)
Patriots (-130)
Cardinals (+110)
Over 44 (-110)
Under 44 (-110)
FanDuelPatriots -1.5 (-108)
Cardinals +1.5 (-112)
Patriots (-130)
Cardinals (+110)
Over 44.5 (-110)
Under 44.5 (-110)
CaesarsPatriots -1.5 (-110)
Cardinals +1.5 (-110)
Patriots (-125)
Cardinals (+105)
Over 44.5 (-110)
Under 44.5 (-110)

New England is a road favorite playing at Arizona this week. The spread ranges between 1.5 and 2.5 points in the Patriots’ favor. New England, as mentioned, is entering must-win territory with the season coming to its close in just over a month. The Patriots are a full game out of a playoff spot at the moment, but they are not yet mathematically eliminated.

With the over/under listed between 44 and 44.5, Mac Jones would need to have a big game for the over to hit. The Arizona offense can put up points, but New England’s offense will likely hold them under their average.

The game is being played in the indoor stadium of the Cardinals, so putting up points won’t be limited by Foxborough weather. The only thing that may be limiting the Patriots’ offense is the play-calling of Matt Patricia.

The best value on the Patriots moneyline is at DraftKings and FanDuel, which has -130 odds. The point total and spread are reasonably close at most sportsbooks.

With a primetime game and plenty of watching eyes, don’t be surprised to see these lines fluctuate up until kick-off.

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