Nationals vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI Preview (8/15/24): Odds, Prediction, Pitching Matchup & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on August 15, 2024
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The Phillies host the Nationals at 6:40 p.m. ET today at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The weather forecast predicts clear skies with a high of 88 degrees. Mitchell Parker, with a NRFI record of 16-5, takes the mound for the Nationals against Zack Wheeler, who holds an NRFI record of 18-4, for the Phillies. MLB odds for NRFI stand at -125 and YRFI at -110, according to DraftKings. This game presents key insights for MLB bettors focusing on NRFI/YRFI outcomes.

Nationals vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI odds for 8/15/24

For today’s game between the Nationals and Phillies, the odds from DraftKings Sportsbook show a slight preference towards NRFI at -125, compared to YRFI at -110. This translates to an implied probability of 55.56% for NRFI and 52.38% for YRFI, indicating a tight contest in the first inning, according to MLB odds.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -125
  • DraftKings: YRFI -110

Odds are subject to change for Phillies vs Diamondbacks

Nationals vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction today

If we get a run in the first inning of tonight’s game, it’ll more than likely come in the Phillies half of the first inning. Philadelphia pitcher Zack Wheeler doesn’t allow first-inning runs, and the Nationals don’t score in the first inning. Wheeler has an 18-4 NRFI record, while Washington has a YRFI percentage of 19%. Despite Mitchell Parker having a strong 16-5 NRFI record, the Phillies top of the order at home is a tough matchup for any pitcher. Take the slightly better YRFI value for tonight’s game.

Nationals vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-110)

Nationals vs. Phillies pitching matchup for Thursday

Michell Parker (L) (WSH)StatZack Wheeler (R) (PHI)
16-5NRFI/YRFI record18-4
19.3%K%26.7%
6.1%BB%7.4%
1.20WHIP1.00
1.12HR/90.95

Mitchell Parker for the Nationals shows a WHIP of 1.20, K% of 19.3, BB% of 6.1, HR/9 of 1.12, and an NRFI/YRFI Record of 16-5. Zack Wheeler of the Phillies counters with a WHIP of 1.00, K% of 26.7, BB% of 7.4, HR/9 of 0.95, and an NRFI/YRFI Record of 18-4. Both pitchers have effectively controlled the game, which is crucial for MLB odds.

Looking at the venue and batter matchups, Parker is stronger against left-handed batters, showing a lower WHIP of 1.28 and HR/9 of 0.33, while Wheeler excels against right-handers with a superior WHIP of 0.68 and HR/9 of 0.54. These splits suggest strategic advantages in NRFI/YRFI betting scenarios, highlighting the importance of batter-pitcher matchups in MLB odds.

Mitchell Parker Split Stats

AwayStatHome
18.7%K%19.8%
8.5%BB%3.7%
1.39WHIP1.03
0.68HR/91.50
vs LeftStatvs Right
23.3%K%18.5%
3.4%BB%7.1%
1.28WHIP1.17
0.33HR/91.37

Zack Wheeler Split Stats

AwayStatHome
25.4%K%27.8%
7.7%BB%7%
1.05WHIP0.96
1.09HR/90.83
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
24.7%K%31%
10.3%BB%4%
1.28WHIP0.68
1.30HR/90.54

Nationals vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI record

  • Nationals NRFI: 80.99%
  • Nationals YRFI: 19.01%
  • Nationals Opponent NRFI: 76.86%
  • Nationals Opponent YRFI: 23.14%
  • Phillies NRFI: 62.50%
  • Phillies YRFI: 37.50%
  • Phillies Opponent NRFI: 73.33%
  • Phillies Opponent YRFI: 26.67%

Projected starting pitchers and stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Nationals vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI season pitching stats overview

Zack Wheeler shows strength with a 1.00 WHIP and a 26.7 K%, yet faces a diverse Nationals lineup. Mitchell Parker, with a 1.20 WHIP and a 19.3 K%, confronts a Phillies lineup skilled in capitalizing on left-handed pitching, a key factor for MLB odds.

Nationals Lineup vs. Zack Wheeler (R)

CJ Abrams and Luis García Jr. offer a left-handed challenge to Wheeler, with Abrams showing a .354 wOBA and García struggling with a .271 wOBA. Juan Yepez and Keibert Ruiz add depth, Yepez impressing with a .434 wOBA and .194 ISO against righties. The Nationals’ mix of left and right bats could exploit Wheeler’s performance trends, impacting MLB odds.

Phillies Lineup vs. Mitchell Parker (L)

Against left-handers like Parker, Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper provide power, boasting .341 and .363 wOBAs respectively. Trea Turner and Alec Bohm enhance the lineup with Turner’s .338 wOBA and Bohm’s .361 wOBA. Their ability to connect against lefties could be crucial, influencing MLB odds favorably for the Phillies.

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