Since the advent of the Belichick-Brady era in New England, success has been a constant. Because of that, another constant is the Patriots 2020 Super Bowl odds.
Despite losing one of the best tight ends in the game to unexpected retirement, New England has reloaded in its usual cost-effective way. The Patriots look primed for another deep postseason, and the sportsbooks agree.
Patriots 2020 Super Bowl odds: offseason recap
The retirement of Rob Gronkowski sent shock waves not just through Patriots fan groups but the entire NFL. Replacing him will be almost impossible for New England.
If any team can thrive despite the loss of such a player, however, it’s the Patriots. Tasked with the job are the triumvirate of:
- Austin Seferian-Jenkins
- Benjamin Watson
- Eric Saubert
The signing of wide receiver Demaryius Thomas and the drafting of receiver N’Keal Harry might relieve some of that pressure. The next greatest holes New England had to fill are in the trenches.
Offensive tackle Trent Brown and defensive lineman Trey Flowers departed in free agency. The Patriots signed Michael Bennett to help on the D-line and on the offensive line; it will simply be a “next man up” strategy.
Save for Gronk’s retirement, this was a typical offseason for New England. The Patriots have a strong track record of letting high-priced free agents go and filling those voids with cheaper veterans.
Sportsbooks obviously believe in New England because of that track record.
Breaking down the Patriots 2020 Super Bowl odds
Legal sportsbooks available in those states vary some on the specific lines, but all of them have New England among the favorites to win Super Bowl LIV. Westgate in Las Vegas has the Patriots 6/1 to do so.
Other books and their current odds include:
- DraftKings +700
- FanDuel +700
- PointsBet +650
- SugarHouse +700
Not only is New England the favorite to win the next Super Bowl at those books, but the Patriots are also the favorite to reach that game by winning the AFC Championship. DraftKings, FanDuel, and SugarHouse all have New England +320 there.
As far as whom the Patriots would face in that contest goes, the best odds are at FanDuel on a New England vs. New York Giants Super Bowl. That line currently sits at +15000.
Naturally, the path to the Patriots winning back to back Super Bowls begins with them making the playoffs. Lines on that are consistent in assuming New England will do so.
Other Patriots futures: AFC East title and more
None of the books have favorable odds on the Patriots winning the AFC East Division right now, making New England a heavy favorite to do so. DraftKings currently offers odds of +800 on the Patriots capturing a wild card spot instead.
DraftKings and FanDuel offer a similar line of +700 for those willing to take a risk on New England falling far short of expectations and missing the playoffs altogether. If the Patriots’ win expectancy is accurate, that’s an unwise bet to take.
The strongest consensus between the books on New England wins lies at 11. PointsBet’s line of +125 on the under is the best action there. If Patriots quarterback Tom Brady stays healthy and performs up to his potential, it’s hard to see them falling short of that.
Tom Brady leads the field of Patriots player prop bets
Several of the books offer bets on Brady leading the league in statistical categories and bringing home more hardware to Gisele.
Brady is +1800 on PointsBet to win the league’s MVP award. He’s also +1600 on DraftKings to be named the Associated Press Offensive Player of the Year.
DraftKings has the best line on Brady leading the NFL in passing yards, currently set at +2200. FanDuel and PointsBet both give odds of +1800 for Brady throwing more touchdown passes than any other quarterback in the league.
Brady’s supporting cast constitutes the rest of the high-profile New England player prop bets.
Other Patriots props: Sony Michel, Julian Edelman, etc.
Patriots running back Sony Michel established himself last season. Because of that, he’s a contender to lead the league on the ground.
FanDuel has Michel +3200 to rush for the most yards in the NFL over the coming season. Michel is +2200 on DraftKings to score the most touchdowns on the ground.
One of Brady’s favorite targets for years now, Julian Edelman, is a mid-tier bet to achieve similar statistical supremacy. DraftKings has him at +6600 to lead the league in receiving yards and +5000 to catch the most touchdown passes.
Edelman reaching those marks may not happen if Harry has a stellar rookie season. DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, and SugarHouse all list Harry at +1800 to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. That places him among the favorites.
New England’s second-round draft pick, defensive back Joejuan Williams, is much more of a long shot to win the Defensive Rookie of the Year title. DraftKings, PointsBet, and SugarHouse pegs him at +5000 on that.
A final prop bet of note is on Patriots head coach Bill Belichick winning the AP Coach of the Year award. DraftKings has him +1400 to do so.
If Belichick can guide New England to what the books expect it to do, he would be very deserving of that award. The Patriots are one of the safest bets out there, which is par for the course for them.