Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Preview (7/9/24): Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 9, 2024
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The New York Yankees face the Tampa Bay Rays at 6:50 p.m. ET today at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. The game features pitchers with notable NRFI records: Carlos Rodón (11-7) and Ryan Pepiot (10-5). NRFI odds are set at -115, while YRFI odds are at -120. This information is crucial for understanding NRFI/YRFI betting dynamics for the upcoming game.

Yankees vs Rays NRFI/YRFI odds for 7/9/24

Tonight’s MLB game between the Yankees and Rays shows closely matched NRFI and YRFI odds. DraftKings Sportsbook lists the YRFI odds at -120, indicating a slightly favored outcome for a run in the first inning. Conversely, the NRFI odds are at -115, suggesting a nearly equal likelihood of no run in the first inning. The implied probabilities calculate approximately 54.5% for YRFI and 53.5% for NRFI, highlighting the tight expectations for the game’s start.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -120
  • DraftKings NRFI: -115

MLB odds are subject to change for the Guardians vs Tigers NRFI/YRFI odds.

Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction for July 9

To say Carlos Rodón has struggled in his recent outings is an understatement. The Yankees lefty doesn’t usually make bettors wait too long, either. Given that and New York’s lineup, for the season, the Yankees are at 37% YRFI, take the YRFI at DraftKings at -120. It’s not the best value, but it’s likely to happen on Tuesday.

Yankees vs Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI

Carlos Rodón vs Ryan Pepiot pitching matchup for Tuesday

Carlos Rodón of the Yankees showcases a 1.24 WHIP and 23% K-rate, with an NRFI/YRFI record of 11-7. Rodón has allowed 1.64 HR/9 this season. On the Rays’ side, Ryan Pepiot enters with a 1.12 WHIP and a 26.3% K-rate, holding an NRFI/YRFI record of 10-5 and surrendering 1.31 HR/9. Both pitchers present strong NRFI odds, given their ability to control home runs and strikeouts.

Against left-handed hitters, Rodón’s WHIP tightens to 1.10 with a K% of 26.9, while Pepiot’s WHIP against right-handers drops to 0.93, complemented by a 25.3% K-rate. Rodón’s performance suggests slightly better YRFI odds when facing lefties, whereas Pepiot shows strength against right-handers, which could influence NRFI odds in this matchup.

Carlos Rodón (L) (NYY)StatRyan Pepiot (RF) (TB)
11-7NRFI/YRFI Record10-5
23%K%26.3%
6.5%BB%8.9%
1.24WHIP1.12
1.64HR/91.31

Carlos Rodón Split Stats

AwayStatHome
23%K%24.9%
7.7%BB%5.8%
1.40WHIP1.09
1.62HR/91.79
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
27.8%K%23.8%
6.9%BB%7.2%
1.15WHIP1.29
1.56HR/91.71

Ryan Pepiot Split Stats

Home StatAway
26.2%K%26.6%
9.4%BB%8.1%
1.12WHIP1.13
1.38HR/91.20
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
28.8%K%25.3%
11.8%BB%6.5%
1.35WHIP0.93
1.51HR/91.12

Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI record

New York Yankees season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Yankees NRFI: 63.04%
  • Yankees YRFI: 36.96%
  • Yankees Opponent NRFI: 73.91%
  • Yankees Opponent YRFI: 26.09%

Tampa Bay Rays season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Rays NRFI: 70.00%
  • Rays YRFI: 30.00%
  • Rays Opponent NRFI: 70.00%
  • Rays Opponent YRFI: 30.00%

All stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Yankees Lineup vs. Ryan Pepiot (L)

Yankees’ hitters like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto show strong performances against left-handed pitchers, with Judge’s .406 ISO and Soto’s .421 wOBA indicating potential early runs. Anthony Volpe and Alex Verdugo add depth despite lower ISOs of .105 and .089, respectively. Their strikeout rates, particularly Judge’s 34.8% and Verdugo’s 20%, alongside Soto’s 24.2 BB%, could challenge Pepiot’s 26.3 K% and 1.12 WHIP. This lineup’s mix could impact NRFI odds favorably.

Rays Lineup vs. Carlos Rodón (L)

Rays present a balanced threat with hitters like Isaac Paredes and Yandy Díaz, showcasing a .350 wOBA and .303 wOBA, respectively, against left-hand pitchers. Paredes’ .199 ISO and Díaz’s lower strikeout rate of 17.8% could exploit Rodón’s 1.64 HR/9 and 1.24 WHIP. Amed Rosario and Randy Arozarena, despite higher K% rates of 17% and 31.5%, bring the potential for critical hits, possibly influencing YRFI odds in this matchup.

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