Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Preview (7/11/24): Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 11, 2024
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The New York Yankees are set to play the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, July 11, at 6:50 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The game features pitchers Nestor Cortes with an NRFI record of 14-5 and Shane Baz with an NRFI record of 1-0. NRFI odds for this matchup are -115, and YRFI odds are -120, according to DraftKings. These MLB odds are crucial for bettors looking at the NRFI/YRFI market.

Yankees vs Rays NRFI/YRFI odds for 7/11/24

For tonight’s MLB game between the Yankees and Rays, DraftKings Sportsbook has set the NRFI odds at -115 and YRFI odds at -120. This translates to a 53.49% probability for NRFI and a 54.55% probability for YRFI, making it a closely contested aspect for bettors.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -115
  • DraftKings: YRFI -120

Yankees vs Rays NRFI/YRFI odds are subject to change.

Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction today

The good news for fans looking to bet the NRFI for tonight’s game is that you have two pitchers who don’t give up runs in the first inning, and the value is there. Nestor Cortes enters the game with a NRFI record of 14-5, while Shane Baz is 1-0. Granted, Baz has limited outings and is going against the likes of Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, but still take the better value at -115 and bet the NRFI. If you were curios, the NRFI hit for Wednesday’s game between the Yankees and Rays.

Yankees vs Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI

Yankees vs. Rays pitching matchup for Thursday

Nestor Cortes (L) (NYY)StatShane Baz (R) (TB)
14-5NRFI/YRFI Record1-0
23.2%K%23.1%
4.4%BB%3.8%
1.08WHIP1.33
1.22HR/90.00

Nestor Cortes of the Yankees has a strong NRFI record of 14-5, with a WHIP of 1.08, K% of 23.2, BB% of 4.4, and HR/9 at 1.22. Shane Baz from the Rays, although with limited innings, has an NRFI record of 1-0, a WHIP of 1.33, K% of 23.1, BB% of 3.8, and HR/9 at 0.00. Both pitchers demonstrate capabilities that favorably influence NFRI odds.

Cortes has better control against left-handers with a WHIP of 0.92 and a K% of 28.2, while Baz has shown effectiveness against right-handers with a WHIP of 0.82 and a K% of 23.1. These splits are crucial for MLB odds, particularly in assessing YRFI odds in their upcoming game.

Nestor Cortes Split Stats

AwayStatHome
19.5%K%26.3%
6.2%BB%2.8%
1.49WHIP0.79
1.75HR/90.84
vs LeftStatvs Right
28.2%K%22.8%
4.7%BB%4.4%
0.92WHIP1.12
0.42HR/91.41

Shane Baz Split Stats

AwayStatHome
23.1%K%0%
3.8%BB%0%
1.33WHIP0.00
0.00HR/90.00
vs LeftStatvs Right
25%K%23.1%
8.3%BB%0%
2.14WHIP0.82
0.00HR/90.00

Yankees vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI record

New York Yankees season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Yankees NRFI: 62.77%
  • Yankees YRFI: 37.23%
  • Yankees Opponent NRFI: 73.40%
  • Yankees Opponent YRFI: 26.60%

Tampa Bay Rays season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Rays NRFI: 69.57%
  • Rays YRFI: 30.43%
  • Rays Opponent NRFI: 69.57%
  • Rays Opponent YRFI: 30.43%

All stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Yankees Lineup vs. Shane Baz (R)

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge present significant power threats against right-hand pitching, with Soto boasting a .417 wOBA and Judge a staggering .503 wOBA and .406 ISO, indicating potential early scoring opportunities. Ben Rice and Alex Verdugo add depth, despite Verdugo’s lower .269 wOBA, their combined performance suggests a challenging matchup for Baz, who has a WHIP of 1.33 and has yet to allow a home run in 6 innings pitched. This matchup leans towards favorable MLB odds for YRFI bets.

Rays Lineup vs. Nestor Cortes (L)

Against left-handers, the Rays lineup features Yandy Díaz and Isaac Paredes with solid wOBAs of .303 and .347, respectively, and Paredes with a notable .198 ISO, indicating potential for extra-base hits. Amed Rosario and Randy Arozarena add speed and contact, but their strikeout rates suggest Cortes, with a 23.2 K% and a WHIP of 1.08, might limit their on-base opportunities. Given Cortes’ effectiveness, NFRI odds could be more appealing in this matchup.

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