Yankees vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI MLB Preview (7/31/24): Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 31, 2024
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Yankees vs. Phillies MLB Preview

The New York Yankees will face the Philadelphia Phillies at 12:30 p.m. ET today at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The game is scheduled to be aired on MLBN. The forecast predicts moderate rain with a high of 75 degrees. Nestor Cortes of the Yankees brings a NRFI record of 15-7 into the game, while Cristopher Sánchez of the Phillies has a NRFI record of 15-5. MLB odds for this matchup include DraftKings YRFI odds at -140 and NRFI odds at +105, indicating betting preferences for the first inning’s outcome.

Yankees vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI odds for 7/31/24

For today’s MLB game between the Yankees and Phillies, DraftKings Sportsbook lists the YRFI odds at -140 and the NRFI odds at +105. This indicates a preference for a run in the first inning. The implied probability for YRFI is approximately 58.3%, suggesting a higher likelihood of a run occurring early. Conversely, NRFI stands at a 48.8% chance, showing a less favored outcome for no run in the first inning.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -140
  • DraftKings NRFI: +105

Yankees vs Phillies MLB odds are subject to change.

Yankees vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction today

The Bronx Bombers have reawakened and found the bats they had earlier in the season. The first two games of this series in Philly resulted in first-inning runs. Even if New York doesn’t score a run, the Phillies will, especially with their lineup.

Yankees vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI

Yankees vs. Phillies pitching matchup for Wednesday

Nestor Cortes (L) (NYY)StatCristopher Sánchez (L) (PHI)
15-7NRFI/YRFI record15-5
21.8%K%18.%
4.9%BB%6.1%
1.21WHIP1.26
1.38HR/90.23

Nestor Cortes of the Yankees brings a WHIP of 1.21, K% of 21.8, BB% of 4.9, and HR/9 of 1.38 into the matchup, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 15-7. Cristopher Sánchez of the Phillies counters with a WHIP of 1.26, K% of 18.5, BB% of 6.1, and HR/9 of 0.23, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 15-5. Both pitchers have shown capabilities that impact MLB odds for NRFI/YRFI bets.

At away games, Cortes shows a WHIP of 1.61 with a K% of 19.1 and HR/9 of 1.63, indicating potential vulnerabilities in road starts. Sánchez, performing at home, boasts a lower WHIP of 0.97, a K% of 23.3, and has yet to allow a home run, suggesting a strong home-field advantage that could influence NRFI odds. Against left and right-hand hitters, both pitchers display varied effectiveness, which could sway YRFI odds depending on the batting lineup they face.

Nestor Cortes Split Stats

AwayStatHome
19.1%K%24.4%
6.5%BB%3.3%
1.61WHIP0.88
1.63HR/91.17
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
25.8%K%21.7%
3.3%BB%6.5%
0.88WHIP1.61
1.17HR/91.63

Cristopher Sánchez Split Stats

AwayStatHome
12.3%K%22.3%
8.5%BB%4.3%
1.74WHIP0.97
.63HR/90.00
vs LeftStatvs Right
21.8%K%18.6%
4.6%BB%6.7%
1.04WHIP1.31
0.00HR/90.29

Yankees vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI record

  • Yankees NRFI: 62.39%
  • Yankees YRFI: 37.61%
  • Yankees Opponent NRFI: 72.48%
  • Yankees Opponent YRFI: 27.52%
  • Phillies NRFI: 61.68%
  • Phillies YRFI: 38.32%
  • Phillies Opponent NRFI: 76.64%
  • Phillies Opponent YRFI: 23.36%

Yankees Lineup vs. Cristopher Sánchez (L)

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Juan Soto, both left-handed hitters, show promise against lefties with Chisholm’s .290 wOBA and Soto’s impressive .422 wOBA, highlighting their potential to disrupt Sánchez early on. Gleyber Torres and Aaron Judge bring power from the right side, with Torres boasting a .205 ISO and Judge a staggering .402 ISO, indicating significant YRFI odds potential against Sánchez’s left-hand pitching. Sánchez’s low HR/9 of 0.23 suggests he’s generally effective at suppressing power, but the Yankees’ lineup presents a challenging matchup.

Phillies Lineup vs. Nestor Cortes (L)

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, with wOBAs of .443 and .411 respectively, pose a significant threat to Cortes, especially given Harper’s .260 ISO. Trea Turner and Alec Bohm add depth with Turner’s .392 wOBA and Bohm’s lower K% of 10, suggesting they could capitalize on Cortes’s 1.38 HR/9. Cortes’s NRFI odds could be tested by this lineup, given his WHIP of 1.21 and a K% of 21.8, indicating vulnerabilities the Phillies might exploit.

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