Reds vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI MLB Preview (7/3/24): Odds, Prediction, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 3, 2024
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The Cincinnati Reds are set to play the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 3, at 5:05 p.m. at Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The pitching matchup for this game features the Reds’ Andrew Abbott going up against the Yankees’ Carlos Rodón. No run first inning (NRFI)/yes run first inning (YRFI) odds are listed with DraftKings offering YRFI at -125 and NRFI at -105. Abbott and Rodon have a NRFI record of 10-7 and 9-7, respectively.

NRFI/YRFI Odds For Reds vs. Yankees 7/3/24

NRFI odds from DraftKings sportsbook MA suggest a close call between NRFI and YRFI. DraftKings lists the odds for YRFI at -125, indicating a slightly favored outcome for a run in the first inning. NRFI odds, meanwhile, are set at -105. The implied probability for YRFI stands at 55.56%, and 51.22% for NRFI.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -125
  • DraftKings NRFI: -105

Odds are subject to change for Reds vs. Yankees 7/3/24

Reds vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Prediction for July 3

Though the NRFI record for Abbott and Rodón would lead one to believe that their may be some value on the NRFI here, the books are justified in placing the juice on the side of the YRFI. Both the Reds and Yankees lineup have had relative success going against pitchers whose style reflects that of Abbott and Rodón. In Abbott’s case, Judge and Soto will be one of the best duos he’s faced all year. In Rodón’s case, the Reds have played slightly better against lefties. Back the YRFI in the Reds vs Yankees July 3 matchup.

Reds vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Prediction:
YRFI

Andrew Abbot vs. Carlos Rodon Matchup for Wednesday

Andrew Abbott for the Reds and Carlos Rodón for the Yankees showcase distinct stats crucial for NRFI/YRFI bets. Abbott records a 1.20 WHIP, 18.8 K%, 8.4 BB%, and 1.61 HR/9 with a 9-7 NRFI/YRFI record. Rodón counters with a 1.26 WHIP, 22.3 K%, 6.3 BB%, 1.54 HR/9, and a 10-7 NRFI/YRFI record. Both pitchers present strong cases for NRFI/YRFI considerations, given their ability to manage walks and strikeouts effectively.

Abbott’s performance against left and right-hand hitters shows a better WHIP (1.06) and lower HR/9 (0.79) against lefties, suggesting a strategic advantage in matchups. Rodón’s stats reveal a stronger K% (26.9) against left-hand hitters, with a slightly better WHIP (1.10) and HR/9 (1.10), indicating his efficiency irrespective of the batter’s profile. These specifics are vital for Yankees vs Reds NRFI/YRFI predictions, highlighting each pitcher’s strengths in home or away games and against diverse hitter orientations.

Carlos Rodón (L) (NYY)StatAndrew Abbott (L) (CIN)
10-7NRFI/YRFI Record9-7
22.30%K%18.80%
6.30%BB%8.40%
1.26WHIP1.2
1.54HR/91.61

Andrew Abbott Split Stats

HomeStatAway
21%K%17.10%
8.40%BB%8.30%
1.32WHIP1.12
1.66HR/91.57
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
20.70%K%18.90%
4.30%BB%10%
1.06WHIP1.25
0.79HR/91.88

Carlos Rodón Split Stats

HomeStatAway
23.20%K%21.80%
5.30%BB%6.90%
1.11WHIP1.35
1.54HR/91.53
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
26.90%K%22.20%
6%BB%6.60%
1.1WHIP1.28
1.1HR/91.63

Reds vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Reds NRFI: 71.76%
  • Reds YRFI: 28.24%
  • Reds Opponent NRFI: 71.76%
  • Reds Opponent YRFI: 28.24%
  • Yankees NRFI: 62.07%
  • Yankees YRFI: 37.93%
  • Yankees Opponent NRFI: 72.41%
  • Yankees Opponent YRFI: 27.59%

Reds Lineup vs. Carlos Rodón (L)

The Reds’ lineup shows potential against lefties with Stuart Fairchild and Spencer Steer displaying strong performances in such instances. Fairchild’s .373 wOBA and Steer’s .375 wOBA highlight their effectiveness as of late. Steer also brings power with a .228 ISO, indicating scoring opportunities. The Reds’ strikeout percentage, however, — particularly Elly De La Cruz’s 33.7% K% — could play into Rodón’s hands. The matchup suggests a challenging but potentially rewarding scenario for the Reds, impacting betting considerations for Yankees vs Red NRFI/YRFI.

Yankees Lineup vs. Andrew Abbott (L)

The Yankees’ lineup, featuring Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, poses a significant threat to Abbott’s NRFI bid. Soto’s .434 wOBA and Judge’s .500 wOBA against similar throwhand pitchers indicates potential for a run in the first inning. Judge’s exceptional .397 ISO and Soto’s .247 ISO indicate a high scoring potential. Abbott’s 1.20 WHIP and 1.61 HR/9 could also be exploited by the Yankees’ power hitters. This lineup’s performance and Abbott’s vulnerability to home runs are crucial for bettors analyzing Yankees vs Red NRFI/YRFI predictions.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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