The Boston Red Sox are scheduled to play against the New York Yankees on Friday, July 5, at 5:05 p.m. at Yankee Stadium in New York. The game features pitchers Tanner Houck for the Red Sox with a NRFI record of 15-2 and Nestor Cortes for the Yankees with a NRFI record of 13-5. NRFI/YRFI odds are listed at DraftKings with YRFI at -115 and NRFI at -120. The forecast predicts overcast clouds with a high of 92 degrees.
NRFI/YRFI odds for Red Sox vs. Yankees 7/5/24
For the upcoming MLB game between the Red Sox and Yankees, the odds present a close call between NRFI and YRFI. DraftKings lists the NRFI at -120, translating to a 54.55% implied probability. Conversely, YRFI is pegged at -115, indicating a 53.49% chance. These odds suggest a nearly even split in expectations for the first inning.
- DraftKings YRFI: -115
- DraftKings NRFI: -120
Red Sox vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Prediction
Both pitchers would indicate NRFI being the play here given their record on the season, but the amount of HR potential in this spot is intriguing. Cortes and Houck have both done a good job at limiting damage, although RHB can get to Cortes. You should back the NRFI side here in tonight’s matchup as these arms can neutralize opposing offenses.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup
Tanner Houck of the Red Sox shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 15-2 with a WHIP of 1.02 and HR/9 of 0.42. His K% stands at 23.5, and BB% at 4.3, indicating strong control and strikeout ability. Houck’s performance against left and right-hand hitters varies, with a tighter WHIP of 0.98 against lefties and a higher K% of 27.3 against righties.
Nestor Cortes from the Yankees counters with a NRFI/YRFI record of 13-5, showcasing a 1.10 WHIP and a HR/9 of 1.20. Cortes has a K% of 22.5 and a BB% of 4.4, reflecting his ability to handle batters efficiently. His stats reveal a stronger performance at home with a WHIP of 0.80 and a lower HR/9 of 0.77, but struggles slightly more against right-hand hitters with a WHIP of 1.12 and a higher HR/9 of 1.36.
| Nestor Cortes (L) (NYY) | Stat | Tanner Houck (R) (BOS) |
| 13-5 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 15-2 |
| 22.5% | K% | 23.5% |
| 4.4% | BB% | 4.3% |
| 1.10 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 1.20 | HR/9 | 0.42 |
Tanner Houck Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
| 21.8% | K% | 26.3% |
| 3.3% | BB% | 5.8% |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 0.89 |
| 0.56 | HR/9 | 0.21 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
| 20.9% | K% | 27.3% |
| 5.1% | BB% | 3.4% |
| 0.98 | WHIP | 1.07 |
| 0.16 | HR/9 | 0.72 |
Nestor Cortes Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
| 25.3% | K% | 19.5% |
| 2.7% | BB% | 6.2% |
| 0.80 | WHIP | 1.49 |
| 0.77 | HR/9 | 1.75 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
| 25.3% | K% | 22.7% |
| 5.3% | BB% | 4.3% |
| 1.02 | WHIP | 1.12 |
| 0.48 | HR/9 | 1.36 |
Red Sox vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Record
- Red Sox NRFI: 69.77%
- Red Sox YRFI: 30.23%
- Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 76.74%
- Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 23.26%
- Yankees NRFI: 62.92%
- Yankees YRFI: 37.08%
- Yankees Opponent NRFI: 73.03%
- Yankees Opponent YRFI: 26.97%
Red Sox Lineup vs. Nestor Cortes (R)
With Jarren Duran leading off and Rafael Devers hitting cleanup, there is an early chance for striking despite the lefty matchup. Tyler O’Neil is also a threat against left-handed pitching. Despite Cortes’ 1.10 WHIP and 22.5 K%, his vulnerability to home runs (1.20 HR/9) could be exploited by the power-hitting lefties of the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium.
| Hitter | wOBA | ISO | K% | BB% |
| Jarren Duran (L) | 0.885 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
| Rob Refsnyder (R) | 0.606 | 0.200 | 0% | 0% |
| Tyler O’Neill (R) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 50% | 0% |
| Rafael Devers (L) | 0.507 | 0.636 | 45.5% | 9.1% |
| Connor Wong (R) | 0.316 | 0.250 | 50% | 0% |
| Romy Gonzalez (R) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
| Dominic Smith (L) | 0.421 | 0.334 | 33.3% | 0% |
| David Hamilton (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (R) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
Yankees Lineup vs. Tanner Houck (R)
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto anchor the Yankees’ threat against right-hand pitchers, with Judge’s .509 wOBA and .424 ISO, and Soto’s .432 wOBA and .239 ISO highlighting their power. Tanner Houck, with a solid 1.02 WHIP and only 0.42 HR/9, presents a formidable challenge. However, his 23.5 K% might not be enough to silence the Yankees’ big bats. The matchup suggests a tight contest, with Houck’s low home run allowance facing a stern test against the Yankees’ power hitters.
| Hitter | wOBA | ISO | K% | BB% |
| Anthony Volpe (R) | 0.230 | 0.000 | 50% | 50% |
| Juan Soto (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 50% | 0% |
| Aaron Judge (R) | 0.335 | 0.000 | 22.2% | 11.1% |
| Alex Verdugo (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
| Gleyber Torres (R) | 0.389 | 0.278 | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Ben Rice (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
| DJ LeMahieu (R) | 0.058 | 0.000 | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| Austin Wells (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 33.3% | 0% |
| Trent Grisham (L) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0% | 0% |
