The MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays is scheduled for Wednesday, Sept. 18, at 6:50 p.m. at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The forecast predicts light rain with a high of 85 degrees. Tanner Houck, with a NRFI record of 23-5, will be pitching for the Red Sox, and Ryan Pepiot, holding a NRFI record of 14-9, will be on the mound for the Rays. Betting odds are set at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the YRFI at +105 and the NRFI at -140.
Red Sox vs Rays NRFI/YRFI odds for Wednesday
For the upcoming MLB game between the Red Sox and Rays, Massachusetts sportsbook betting odds indicate a preference towards NRFI at -140, suggesting a lower probability for a run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI stands at +105, pointing towards a slightly riskier bet for those predicting a run in the opening inning. The implied probabilities calculated from these odds show a 58.33% chance for NRFI and a 48.78% chance for YRFI, highlighting the tight competition expected in this game’s early moments.
- DraftKings YRFI: +105
- DraftKings NRFI: -140
The NRFI/YRFI odds for the Red Sox vs Rays are subject to change
Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Prediction for Sept. 18
The Red Sox and Rays continue their series faceoff today, after beginning the series yesterday with a no-run first inning. Each team looks to do the same tonight as the Rays welcome Boston to Florida Wednesday night. Expect this evening to be another matchup with limited runs early on.
Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-140)
Red Sox vs. Rays Pitching Matchup
| Ryan Pepiot(R) (TB) | Stat | Tanner Houck (R) (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 14-9 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 23-5 |
| 24.1% | K% | 20.8% |
| 8.5% | BB% | 6.5% |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.17 |
| 1.25 | HR/9 | 0.58 |
Tanner Houck of the Red Sox showcases a WHIP of 1.17, a K% of 20.8, and a BB% of 6.5 this season, with a solid HR/9 of 0.58. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 23-5, indicating strong early innings performance. Ryan Pepiot of the Rays counters with a WHIP of 1.17, a K% of 24.1, and a BB% of 8.5, alongside a higher HR/9 of 1.25, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 14-9. Both pitchers bring reliable stats to the table, crucial for MLB betting odds.
Looking at venue performance, Houck has a WHIP of 1.16 away, with a K% of 24.2 and a HR/9 of 0.60, showing proficiency in limiting runs on the road. Pepiot, playing at home, posts a WHIP of 1.14, with a K% of 25 and a HR/9 of 1.10, indicating a strong home field advantage. Against left and right-handed hitters, Houck and Pepiot exhibit distinct splits; Houck’s WHIP is lower against righties at 1.23, while Pepiot excels against right-handers with a WHIP of 0.99, relevant factors for MLB betting enthusiasts considering NRFI/YRFI odds.
Tanner Houck Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | K% | 24.2% |
| 6.1% | BB% | 7% |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.16 |
| 0.57 | HR/9 | 0.60 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | K% | 24% |
| 7.7% | BB% | 5.4% |
| 1.12 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 0.49 | HR/9 | 0.69 |
Ryan Pepiot Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | K% | 22.9% |
| 9.3% | BB% | 7.5% |
| 1.14 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 1.10 | HR/9 | 1.46 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | K% | 24.1% |
| 10.5% | BB% | 6.4% |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 0.99 |
| 1.41 | HR/9 | 1.05 |
Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Record
- Red Sox NRFI: 68.21%
- Red Sox YRFI: 31.79%
- Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 71.52%
- Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 28.48%
- Rays NRFI: 72.19%
- Rays YRFI: 27.81%
- Rays Opponent NRFI: 70.20%
- Rays Opponent YRFI: 29.80%
All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Red Sox Lineup vs. Ryan Pepiot (R)
The Red Sox hitters like Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers show promise against right-handed pitchers with a .394 and .417 wOBA respectively, indicating a strong potential for early scoring. Duran’s .274 ISO and Devers’ .322 ISO against righties suggest power hitting that could exploit Pepiot’s 1.25 HR/9 rate. With Pepiot’s WHIP standing at 1.17 and a K% of 24.1, the Red Sox lineup’s lower K% and higher wOBA could challenge him, enhancing the MLB betting odds in their favor.
Rays Lineup vs. Tanner Houck (R)
On the Rays side, hitters like Brandon Lowe and Josh Lowe present a mixed threat with .334 and .302 wOBA against right-hand pitchers. However, Tanner Houck’s performance with a WHIP of 1.17 and a low HR/9 of 0.58 suggests he might handle the Rays’ lineup effectively. Houck’s K% of 20.8 against the Rays’ higher strikeout rates could play a pivotal role, potentially shifting betting odds. Houck’s ability to limit walks and home runs might suppress the Rays’ scoring opportunities, making it a critical factor for MBL betting enthusiasts.
