The Boston Red Sox are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday, Sep 17, at 6:50 p.m. at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL. The weather forecast predicts broken clouds with a high of 83 degrees. Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox, holding a NRFI record of 16-7, will pitch against Shane Baz of the Rays, with a NRFI record of 7-4. NRFI/YRFI odds are currently set at DraftKings Sportsbook with YRFI at +100 and NRFI at -135. Considering the pitchers’ NRFI records and the Red Sox odds, this information is crucial for MLB bettors analyzing the no-run first inning potential of the upcoming game.
Red Sox vs Rays NRFI/YRFI odds for Sept. 17
For tonight’s game featuring the Red Sox against the Rays, the odds from DraftKings Sportsbook show a preference towards NRFI at -135, indicating a higher likelihood of no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds are set at +100, suggesting a lower probability of a run in the first inning. Calculations based on these odds from sportsbooks in Massachusetts give NRFI a 57.45% implied probability, while YRFI stands at 50%.
- DraftKings: NRFI -135
- DraftKings: YRFI +100
The NRFI/YRFI odds for the Red Sox vs Rays are subject to change
Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction today
Neither team is all that consistent at scoring runs in the first inning. Pair that with the fact neither starting pitcher for tonight’s game gives up first-inning runs and you have the bet you should make. On top of that, Tropicana Field is a pitcher-friendly ballpark where runs are at a premium, especially in the first inning.
Red Sox vs Rays NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (-135)
Red Sox vs. Rays pitching matchup for Tuesday
| Nick Pivetta (R) (BOS) | Stat | Shane Biaz (R) (TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 16-7 | NRFI/YRFI record | 7-4 |
| 28.6% | K% | 19.8% |
| 5.9% | BB% | 9.5% |
| 1.14 | WHIP | 1.19 |
| 1.74 | HR/9 | 1.04 |
Nick Pivetta boasts a solid performance this season with a WHIP of 1.14, K% at 28.6, and a HR/9 rate of 1.74. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 16-7, indicating a strong start in games for the Red Sox. Pivetta’s effectiveness against left and right-handed batters, with WHIPs of 0.96 and 1.30, respectively, showcases his adaptability on the mound, which is important for Red Sox odds.
On the other hand, Shane Baz presents a WHIP of 1.19, a K% of 19.8, and a HR/9 of 1.04 for the Rays. With a NRFI/YRFI record of 7-4, Baz demonstrates capability in the opening innings. His performance against left-handed hitters shows a lower HR/9 of 1.15 and a WHIP of 1.12, suggesting effectiveness in those matchups.
Considering the statistics, both pitchers have shown strengths in key areas relevant to NRFI/YRFI bets. Pivetta’s higher strikeout percentage and Baz’s controlled home run rate could influence the game’s early innings, impacting Red Sox odds.
Nick Pivetta Split Stats
| Away | Stat | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1% | K% | 31.4% |
| 4.6% | BB% | 7.3% |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.19 |
| 2.23 | HR/9 | 1.19 |
| vs Left | Stat | vs Right |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4% | K% | 27.6% |
| 7.4% | BB% | 4.8% |
| 0.96 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 1.37 | HR/9 | 2.12 |
Shane Baz Split Stats
| Away | Stat | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | K% | 25% |
| 10% | BB% | 8.7% |
| 1.24 | WHIP | 1.12 |
| 0.47 | HR/9 | 2.01 |
| vs Left | Stat | vs Right |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | K% | 19.7% |
| 12.6% | BB% | 6.6% |
| 1.12 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| 1.15 | HR/9 | 0.93 |
Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Record
- Red Sox NRFI: 68.00%
- Red Sox YRFI: 32.00%
- Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 71.33%
- Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 28.67%
- Rays NRFI: 72.00%
- Rays YRFI: 28.00%
- Rays Opponent NRFI: 70.00%
- Rays Opponent YRFI: 30.00%
All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Red Sox Lineup vs. Shane Baz (R)
With Jarren Duran leading off, the Red Sox show strength against right-hand pitchers, boasting a .394 wOBA and .274 ISO at the top. Rafael Devers follows with an impressive .417 wOBA and .322 ISO, indicating significant power potential. Wilyer Abreu and Tyler O’Neill round out the top four, combining for a mix of high strikeout rates but substantial ISO figures (.243 and .212, respectively), suggesting potential for both risk and reward. The Red Sox odds may favor early scoring opportunities, given these matchups.
Rays Pitching: Shane Baz Season Performance
Shane Baz presents a mixed bag with a 19.8% strikeout rate, a 9.5% walk rate over the season, and a 1.04 HR/9 ratio. His WHIP stands at 1.19, indicating some vulnerability, particularly against hitters with high wOBA and ISO rates. Given Baz’s struggles against hitters with power, the Red Sox’s top lineup, featuring high wOBA and ISO, could exploit these weaknesses, impacting the Red Sox odds positively.
