The Boston Red Sox will play against the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday, Aug 15, at 4:35 p.m. at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, 1500. The game features pitchers Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox with a NRFI record of 12-6 and Zach Eflin for the Orioles with a NRFI record of 16-6. NRFI/YRFI odds are set at DraftKings with YRFI at -115 and NRFI at -120. The forecast predicts a clear sky with a high of 87 degrees.
Red Sox vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI odds
For the upcoming MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles, DraftKings SportsBook lists the NRFI odds at -120 and the YRFI odds at -115. This indicates a slight favor towards NRFI, suggesting a lower probability of a run in the first inning. The implied probability for NRFI is approximately 54.5%, while YRFI stands at about 53.5%.
- DraftKings YRFI: -115
- DraftKings NRFI: -120
Blue Jays vs Orioles MLB odds are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction
Both pitchers struggle to contain power and that is the method for a run coming in this one. Baltimore will bring Colton Cowser, Anthony Santander, and Gunnar Henderson to the plate in the first, all with big power numbers off right-handers. Eflin is in the same boat, who has largely struggled with lefties in his career. Duran, Abreu, Yoshida, and Devers will start things off. Between the two sides, an early run looks like a value at these odds.
Red Sox vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI
Red Sox vs. Orioles Pitching Matchup
| Zach Eflin (R) (BAL) | Stat | Nick Pivetta (R) (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 16-6 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 12-6 |
| 19% | K% | 29.1% |
| 2.7% | BB% | 5.7% |
| 1.15 | WHIP | 1.14 |
| 1.11 | HR/9 | 1.79 |
Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox showcases a strong season with a WHIP of 1.14, K% at 29.1, and BB% at 5.7. His HR/9 stands at 1.79, and he holds a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-6. Zach Eflin from the Orioles counters with a WHIP of 1.15, a K% of 19, BB% of 2.7, and an HR/9 of 1.11. Eflin’s NRFI/YRFI record is impressive at 16-6.
Pivetta’s performance splits reveal a better WHIP against left-handed hitters at 0.98 and a K% of 31.1, but struggles slightly more against right-handers with a WHIP of 1.29. Eflin, on the other hand, shows consistency with a WHIP of 1.08 against lefties and 1.21 against righties, maintaining a solid HR/9 rate across matchups.
Nick Pivetta Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | K% | 27.9% |
| 8% | BB% | 3.7% |
| 1.29 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 1.27 | HR/9 | 2.22 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 31.1% | K% | 28.8% |
| 7.2% | BB% | 4.7% |
| 0.98 | WHIP | 1.29 |
| 1.38 | HR/9 | 2.17 |
Zach Eflin Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3% | K% | 18.9% |
| 2.2% | BB% | 3.1% |
| 0.95 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 1.02 | HR/9 | 1.23 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | K% | 17.7% |
| 4.1% | BB% | 1.7% |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.21 |
| 0.91 | HR/9 | 1.29 |
Red Sox vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Record
- Red Sox NRFI: 69.75%
- Red Sox YRFI: 30.25%
- Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 70.59%
- Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 29.41%
- Orioles NRFI: 70.25%
- Orioles YRFI: 29.75%
- Orioles Opponent NRFI: 76.03%
- Orioles Opponent YRFI: 23.97%
Red Sox Lineup vs. Zach Eflin (R)
The Red Sox showcase hitters like Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers with high wOBA scores of .383 and .438 respectively against right-hand pitchers, indicating strong on-base capabilities. Duran’s .263 ISO and Devers’ .349 ISO highlight their power potential, posing a significant threat to righties. With Devers’ 15.7% BB% and Duran’s speed, the Red Sox have a balanced attack of power and precision, crucial against Eflin’s 1.15 WHIP and 1.11 HR/9 stats.
Orioles Lineup vs. Nick Pivetta (R)
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander lead the Orioles with a .401 and .356 wOBA respectively against right-hand pitchers, indicating effective plate appearances. Henderson’s .279 ISO and Santander’s .293 ISO suggest significant power, aligning with Pivetta’s vulnerability shown by a 1.79 HR/9 rate. The Orioles’ lineup, with Santander’s switch-hitting ability and Henderson’s 11.1% BB%, is poised to exploit Pivetta’s 29.1% K% and 5.7% BB%, emphasizing the matchup’s potential for high-scoring plays.
