Red Sox vs. Mets No Run/Yes Run First Inning Preview: Sept. 4 Odds, Prediction, Stats, & Pitching Matchup

Written By Editorial Team on September 4, 2024
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Red Sox Mets NRFI YRFI 9/4/24

The MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets is scheduled for Wednesday, Sep 4, at 5:10 p.m. at Citi Field, New York. The weather forecast predicts a clear sky with a high of 77°F. Tanner Houck, with a NRFI record of 23-4, will pitch for the Red Sox against Tylor Megill, who has a NRFI record of 5-5, for the Mets. NRFI betting odds are set at -120, while YRFI odds are at -115, according to DraftKings.

Red Sox vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI odds

DraftKings Massachusetts lists odds for the upcoming MLB game between the Red Sox and Mets for YRFI at -115 and NRFI at -120. These odds translate to implied probabilities, with YRFI having a 53.49% chance and NRFI having a 54.55% chance. These figures are crucial for bettors focusing on the early game dynamics.

  • DraftKings: YRFI -115
  • DraftKings: NRFI -120

MLB odds are subject to change for the Red Sox vs. Mets

Red Sox vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI Prediction

The Red Sox are coming off a 2-7 loss against the Mets on Tuesday. Boston has another chance to find success tonight, with starting pitcher Tanner Houck offering the strong potential to prevent runs early on. Tylor Megill, on the other hand, has a split 5-5 NRFI/YRFI record, suggesting the chance of run action within tonight’s first few innings.

Red Sox vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-115)

Red Sox vs. Mets Pitching Matchup

Tylor Megill (R) (NYM)StatTanner Houck (R) (BOS)
5-5NRFI/YRFI Record23-4
25.3%K%20.4%
9.5%BB%6.6%
1.40WHIP1.17
1.03HR/90.55

Tanner Houck for the Red Sox shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 23-4, with a WHIP of 1.17, K% at 20.4, BB% at 6.6, and HR/9 at 0.55. Tylor Megill of the Mets counters with a 5-5 NRFI/YRFI record, a WHIP of 1.40, K% at 25.3, BB% at 9.5, and HR/9 at 1.03. Both pitchers have demonstrated effectiveness in controlling the game’s early innings.

Examining their performances, Houck’s stats against left and right-hand hitters show a balanced approach with a slightly better WHIP of 1.08 against lefties and a higher K% against righties at 23.3. Megill, facing left-hand hitters, has a higher WHIP of 1.62 and K% at 27.1, indicating a potential vulnerability.

Tanner Houck Split Stats

HomeStatAway
18.2%K%24.2%
6.1%BB%7%
1.17WHIP1.16
0.57HR/90.60
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
18.5%K%24%
7.7%BB%5.4%
1.12WHIP1.23
0.49HR/90.69

Tylor Megill Split Stats

HomeStatAway
25.2%K%25.6%
9.3%BB%10%
1.26WHIP1.64
1.06HR/90.98
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
27.1%K%25.4%
12.7%BB%7%
1.62WHIP1.19
1.07HR/91.00

Red Sox vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Red Sox NRFI: 66.91%
  • Red Sox YRFI: 33.09%
  • Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 72.66%
  • Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 27.34%
  • Mets NRFI: 76.98%
  • Mets YRFI: 23.02%
  • Mets Opponent NRFI: 78.42%
  • Mets Opponent YRFI: 21.58%

Projected starting pitchers and stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Red Sox Lineup vs. Tylor Megill (R)

The Red Sox hitters like Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers show strong performances against right-hand pitchers, with Duran posting a .404 wOBA and Devers a .424 wOBA, indicating significant scoring potential. High ISO numbers from Duran (.288) and Devers (.341) suggest power hitting that could challenge Megill. Their strikeout rates, 22.5% for Duran and 22.8% for Devers, align with Megill’s K% of 25.3, making matchups critical for MLB betting odds.

Mets Lineup vs. Tanner Houck (R)

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso lead the Mets’ charge with Lindor’s .352 wOBA and Alonso’s .213 ISO against right-hand pitching, indicating their capacity to exploit Houck’s pitching style. Despite Houck’s solid season stats, including a WHIP of 1.17 and a HR/9 of 0.55, the Mets’ lineup presents a balanced threat with both power and contact hitting.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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