Orioles vs. Red Sox No Run/Yes Run First Inning Preview: Sept. 11 Odds, Prediction, Pitching Matchup, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on September 11, 2024
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Orioles Red Sox NRFI YRFI

The Baltimore Orioles face the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, Sep 11, at 5:10 p.m. at Fenway Park, Boston, MA. Dean Kremer (19-2 NRFI record) will pitch for the Orioles against Nick Pivetta (15-7 NRFI record) of the Red Sox. NRFI betting odds are set at -110, with YRFI odds at -120 according to DraftKings. The game day forecast predicts a few clouds with a high of 79°F.

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI odds

For the upcoming MLB game between the Orioles and Red Sox, sportsbooks have set the lines for NRFI and YRFI bets. DraftKings Sportsbook has listed the YRFI at -120, indicating a preference for a run in the first inning. Conversely, the NRFI is set at -110, showing slightly less confidence in a scoreless first inning. Calculating the implied probabilities, YRFI stands at approximately 54.5%, while NRFI is at about 52.4%.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -120
  • DraftKings NRFI: -110

Odds for the Orioles vs Red Sox are subject to change

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Massachusetts sportsbooks are split between tonight’s NRFI/YRFI outcome, with odds being roughly even on both sides of the line. Both Dean Kremer and Nick Pivetta, however, have shown consistency in preventing runs during the first inning this season. Look for them to do so again tonight.

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-110)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Nick Pivetta (R) (BOS)StatDean Kremer (R) BAL)
15-7NRFI/YRFI Record19-2
28.2%K%21.5%
6%BB%9.6%
1.15WHIP1.27
1.75HR/91.21

Dean Kremer of the Orioles shows a solid performance with a WHIP of 1.27, a K% of 21.5, and a BB% of 9.6, alongside a HR/9 of 1.21. Kremer’s NRFI/YRFI record stands at 19-2, indicating strong early innings. Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox counters with a WHIP of 1.15, a K% of 28.2, and a BB% of 6, with his HR/9 at 1.75. Pivetta’s NRFI/YRFI record is 15-7, showcasing his capability to control the game’s outset.

Examining performance specifics, Kremer’s stats against left-handed hitters reveal a WHIP of 1.38 and a HR/9 of 1.62, while against right-handers, his WHIP slightly improves to 1.16 with a HR/9 of 0.80. Pivetta’s performance shines against lefties with a WHIP of 0.97 and a HR/9 of 1.48, but his stats against right-handers indicate a WHIP of 1.31 and a HR/9 of 2.01. These insights into pitcher matchups against hitter orientations are crucial for mlb betting odds considerations.

Dean Kremer Split Stats

HomeStatAway
20.6%K%22.5%
9.3%BB%9.8%
1.39WHIP1.16
1.65HR/90.79
vs LeftStatvs Right
23%K%21%
12.3%BB%7.1%
1.38WHIP1.16
1.62HR/90.80

Nick Pivetta Split Stats

HomeStatAway
30.8%K%26.1%
7.6%BB%4.6%
1.23WHIP1.09
1.15HR/92.23
vs LeftStatvs Right
30.5%K%27.6%
7.5%BB%4.9%
0.97WHIP1.31
1.48HR/92.01

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Orioles NRFI: 70.55%
  • Orioles YRFI: 29.45%
  • Orioles Opponent NRFI: 74.66%
  • Orioles Opponent YRFI: 25.34%
  • Red Sox NRFI: 66.90%
  • Red Sox YRFI: 33.10%
  • Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 71.03%
  • Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 28.97%

Orioles Lineup vs. Nick Pivetta (R)

Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander bring significant power against right-hand pitching, with ISOs of .279 and .277 respectively, indicating potential early scoring opportunities for the Orioles. Henderson’s .399 wOBA and Santander’s .354 wOBA highlight their effectiveness, crucial for mlb betting insights. The lineup’s blend of high walk rates and strikeout percentages suggests a challenging matchup for Pivetta, impacting odds favorably for the Orioles.

Red Sox Lineup vs. Dean Kremer (R)

Rafael Devers stands out with a .415 wOBA and .331 ISO against right-hand pitching, presenting a strong case for early runs. Jarren Duran’s .399 wOBA and .284 ISO further solidify the Red Sox’s potential against Kremer. High strikeout rates across the lineup, however, could play into Kremer’s favor, affecting Red Sox betting odds. Tyler O’Neill’s high K% but notable .220 ISO and .326 wOBA indicate a risk-reward scenario for bettors.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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