Orioles vs Red Sox No Run/Yes Run First Inning Preview: Sept. 10 Odds, Prediction, Pitching Matchup, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on September 10, 2024
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Orioles Red Sox NRFI YRFI

The Baltimore Orioles are set to play the Boston Red Sox at 7:10 p.m. ET today at Fenway Park, Boston. The game features pitchers Albert Suárez for the Orioles with a NRFI record of 16-4 and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox with a NRFI record of 20-9. NRFI/YRFI odds are currently set at DraftKings Sportsbook with YRFI at -125 and NRFI at -110. The forecast predicts clear skies with a high of 78 degrees. This information is crucial for understanding the Red Sox odds in the upcoming game.

Orioles vs Red Sox NRFI/YRFI odds for 9/10/24

For the upcoming MLB game featuring the Orioles against the Red Sox, DraftKings Sportsbook lists the MLB odds for NRFI at -110 and YRFI at -125. These odds suggest a close expectation on whether a run will be scored in the first inning. Calculating the implied probabilities, the NRFI stands at approximately 52.38%, while the YRFI is slightly higher at 55.56%. This indicates a marginal preference for a run occurring in the first inning, according to the Red Sox odds.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -110
  • DraftKings: YRFI -125

Odds for the Orioles vs Red Sox are subject to change

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI prediction today

Both starting pitchers enter tonight’s game with really good NRFI records. Suárez is 16-4 for the Orioles, while Crawford is 20-9. Yes, Fenway Park is always conducive to runs, especially in the first inning, but that won’t happen tonight.

Orioles vs Red Sox NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (-110)

Orioles vs. Red Sox pitching matchup for Tuesday

Albert Suárez (R) (BALStatKutter Crawford (R) (BOS)
16-4NRFI/YRFI record20-9
17.6%K%22.3%
7.5%BB%6.6%
1.31WHIP1.07
0.87HR/91.62

Albert Suárez for the Orioles shows a WHIP of 1.31, with a K% of 17.6 and a BB% of 7.5. His HR/9 stands at 0.87, contributing to a NRFI/YRFI Record of 16-4. Kutter Crawford of the Red Sox presents a WHIP of 1.07, a K% of 22.3, and a BB% of 6.6, with a HR/9 of 1.62 and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 20-9. Both pitchers demonstrate strong control and the ability to limit home runs, crucial for NRFI/YRFI betting.

Examining venue and batter matchups, Suárez has a better WHIP against right-handed batters (1.18) and Crawford excels against lefties with a WHIP of 1.02. Suárez’s performance away from home shows a WHIP of 1.37, while Crawford’s home stat line includes a WHIP of 1.10. These statistics, especially considering the Red Sox odds, suggest a tight matchup with a slight edge to Crawford based on overall WHIP and strikeout capabilities.

Albert Suárez Split Stats

AwayStatHome
18.1%K%17.1%
8.7%BB%6.2%
1.37WHIP1.24
0.78HR/90.97
vs LeftStatvs Right
17.3%K%18.8%
10.6%BB%5.5%
1.48WHIP1.18
0.94HR/90.83

Kutter Crawford Split Stats

AwayStatHome
22.9%K%21.7%
7.1%BB%6.1%
1.05WHIP1.10
2.16HR/91.10
vs LeftStatvs Right
23.7%K%21.6%
7.1%BB%6.3%
1.02WHIP1.13
1.94HR/91.27

Orioles vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI record

  • Orioles NRFI: 71.03%
  • Orioles YRFI: 28.97%
  • Orioles Opponent NRFI: 74.48%
  • Orioles Opponent YRFI: 25.52%
  • Red Sox NRFI: 66.67%
  • Red Sox YRFI: 33.33%
  • Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 71.53%
  • Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 28.47%

Projected starting pitchers and stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Orioles Lineup vs. Kutter Crawford (R)

Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn show promise against right-hand pitchers with a .398 and .341 wOBA, respectively, indicating potential scoring opportunities for the Orioles. Henderson’s .278 ISO and O’Hearn’s .176 ISO highlight their power hitting capabilities. The Orioles’ lineup has a balanced mix of strikeouts and walks, suggesting they can put pressure on Crawford with a strategic approach at the plate.

Red Sox Lineup vs. Albert Suárez (R)

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers stand out with a .400 and .415 wOBA against right-hand pitchers, making them key players in the Red Sox odds to score. Devers shows significant power with a .331 ISO, indicating potential for home runs. The lineup’s ability to draw walks and connect with the ball, as seen with Duran’s .284 ISO, suggests they could exploit Suárez’s pitching weaknesses.

Albert Suárez shows a moderate performance with a 1.31 WHIP and a .87 HR/9 rate, indicating he can be challenged by hitters with high wOBA and ISO numbers. Kutter Crawford, with a 1.07 WHIP and a higher HR/9 rate of 1.62, might struggle against hitters like Henderson and O’Hearn who have shown strong on-base and slugging capabilities.

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