NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (9/27/24): Odds, Stats, Pitching Matchups, & Predictions

Written By Editorial Team on September 27, 2024
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NRFI YRFI Best Bets Sept. 27

Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Friday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Pirates-Yankees, Orioles-Twins, and Padres-Diamondbacks. Find up-to-date odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Friday, Sept. 27

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io 

Pirates vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI

Carlos Rodón (L) (NYY)StatJared Jones (R) (PIT)
19-12NRFI/YRFI Record16-5
25.6%K%25.3%
7.1%BB%7.5%
1.21WHIP1.18
1.54HR/91.38

The MLB game between Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees is scheduled for Friday, Sep 27, at 7:05 p.m., taking place at Yankee Stadium, New York, NY. DraftKings has set the odds at -115 for YRFI and -120 for NRFI, indicating a slightly higher probability for NRFI. Calculating the implied probabilities, the YRFI stands at approximately 53.5%, while the NRFI has a slightly higher chance at 54.5%.

Jared Jones of the Pirates brings a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 16-5 to the table, with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K% of 25.3. His HR/9 stands at 1.38, indicating a strong ability to limit home runs, crucial for MLB betting odds. Carlos Rodón for the Yankees counters with a 19-12 NRFI/YRFI record, a WHIP of 1.21, and a K% of 25.6. Rodón’s HR/9 is slightly higher at 1.54, pointing towards a competitive edge in strikeout capabilities and home run limitation, vital for betting enthusiasts.

Jones shows a balanced performance against both left and right-handed hitters, with a slightly better WHIP of 1.14 against righties. His K% is notably higher against lefties at 29.2, important for MLB odds considerations. Rodón, playing at home, has a WHIP of 1.06 and a K% of 26.8, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage. Against right-handed hitters, his WHIP increases to 1.24, but maintains a solid K% of 26.2, indicating a strategic edge for bettors looking at NRFI/YRFI markets.

The Pirates display a balanced attack against left-handed pitching, with Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Joey Bart showing solid contact and power potential, indicated by their .318 and .320 wOBA respectively. Bryan Reynolds stands out with a .355 wOBA and .186 ISO, suggesting he could be a key player in today’s matchup. The lineup’s overall strikeout rate is moderate, which could play into their strategy against Rodón, who has a 25.6 K% and 1.54 HR/9 against his opponents this season.

Against right-handed pitchers, the Yankees’ lineup features heavy hitters like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, boasting impressive .506 and .409 wOBAs respectively, indicating strong on-base and slugging capabilities. Judge’s .431 ISO highlights his power potential, making him a significant threat. Gleyber Torres and Austin Wells add depth, though Wells shows a lower .246 wOBA. This lineup’s high walk rates, especially Soto’s 22.9%, could challenge Jones, who has a 7.5 BB% and 1.38 HR/9 this season.

Pirates vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-115)

Orioles vs Twins NRFI/YRFI

Pablo López (R) (MIN)StatCade Povich (L) (BAL)
22-10NRFI/YRFI Record9-6
25%K%19.9%
5%BB%9.8%
1.18WHIP1.50
1.25HR/91.46

The Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins game takes place Friday, Sep 27, at 8:10 p.m. at Target Field in Minneapolis, MN. The weather forecast predicts a clear sky with a high of 84 degrees. Cade Povich and Pablo López are the starting pitchers, with NRFI records of 9-6 and 22-10, respectively. NRFI and YRFI betting odds are available at DraftKings, with YRFI at -120 and NRFI at -110. The implied probability for YRFI is approximately 54.5%, while NRFI holds a close probability of 52.4%.

Cade Povich for the Orioles presents a WHIP of 1.50, a K% of 19.9, and a BB% of 9.8, alongside a HR/9 rate of 1.46. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 9-6. On the other side, Pablo López of the Twins showcases a WHIP of 1.18, with a strikeout rate of 25%, a walk rate of 5%, and a HR/9 of 1.25. López’s NRFI/YRFI record is 22-10, indicating a stronger performance in early innings.

Looking at home and away splits, Povich’s performance on the road shows a WHIP of 1.88, with a K% of 16.9 and a HR/9 of 2.25. López, when pitching at home, has a WHIP of 1.16, a K% of 24.1, and a HR/9 of 0.99, suggesting better control and efficiency in home games. Against left and right-handed batters, Povich has a WHIP of 1.24 and 1.62 respectively, while López presents a WHIP of 1.23 against lefties and 1.14 against righties, indicating López’s adaptability and consistency against hitters of any side.

Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander are key figures for the Orioles, showcasing a strong presence against right-hand pitchers with a .361 and .335 wOBA respectively. Henderson’s .215 ISO and Santander’s .265 ISO indicate potential for extra-base hits, crucial for MLB betting insights. Cedric Mullins, despite a lower .219 wOBA, could exploit matchups, affecting game odds.

With Manuel Margot and Carlos Correa leading the Twins’ charge against lefties, their .238 and .372 wOBA reflect solid contact and on-base skills. Correa’s .178 ISO and Jose Miranda’s .187 ISO suggest power potential that could challenge Povich, impacting MLB odds. Carlos Santana’s balanced approach, with a .296 wOBA and .135 ISO, adds depth against left-hand pitchers.

Orioles vs. Twins NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-110)

Padres vs Diamondbacks NRFI/YRFI

Merrill Kelly (R) (ARI)StatYu Darvish (L) (SD)
8-4NRFI/YRFI Record12-3
19.4%K%23%
6.4%BB%5.9%
1.13WHIP1.06
1.46HR/91.30

The San Diego Padres play the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday, Sep 27, at 9:40 p.m. at Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ. The game features pitchers Yu Darvish from the Padres with a NRFI record of 12-3 and Merrill Kelly from the Diamondbacks with a NRFI record of 8-4. DraftKings Sportsbook lists the odds for YRFI at -130 and NRFI at -105. These odds translate to implied probabilities, with YRFI having a 56.52% chance of occurring, while NRFI stands at 51.22%.

Yu Darvish brings a solid record into the game with a WHIP of 1.06, a K% of 23, and a BB% of 5.9, alongside a HR/9 of 1.30. Darvish’s NRFI/YRFI record stands at 12-3, making him a key pitcher for MLB betting enthusiasts. Merrill Kelly counters with a WHIP of 1.13, a K% of 19.4, a BB% of 6.4, and a HR/9 of 1.46, with an NRFI/YRFI record of 8-4, presenting intriguing odds for bettors.

Darvish’s performance against left and right-handed batters shows a slight preference in WHIP and K% against lefties (1.04 WHIP, 24.8 K%) compared to righties (1.08 WHIP, 23.2 K%), which could influence MLB betting strategies. Kelly demonstrates stronger performance against right-handed batters with a WHIP of 1.08 and a K% of 26.6, compared to his stats against lefties (1.18 WHIP, 14.5 K%), potentially impacting betting odds in this matchup.

The Padres show promise against right-handers with Fernando Tatis Jr. leading with a .265 ISO and a .385 wOBA, indicating significant power potential. Luis Arraez and Manny Machado contribute with wOBAs of .335 and .340, respectively, suggesting consistent on-base skills. Jurickson Profar’s .177 ISO and .365 wOBA highlight his balanced threat.

Joc Pederson stands out with a .253 ISO and a .396 wOBA against right-handed pitching, signaling strong power and on-base capabilities. Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll provide depth with wOBAs of .362 and .329, respectively, and ISOs indicating extra-base hits potential. Christian Walker’s .259 ISO demonstrates his home run threat. Darvish’s performance against righties and lefties, with a WHIP of 1.06 and a K% of 23, will be crucial in this matchup, influencing MLB betting insights.

Yu Darvish’s stats, including a 1.06 WHIP and a 23 K%, indicate his efficiency in strikeouts and limiting base runners, essential for NRFI bets. Merrill Kelly, with a 1.13 WHIP and a 19.4 K%, also shows capability but faces a potent Padres lineup. Both pitchers’ HR/9 rates above 1.30 suggest vulnerability to power hitters, a key factor for MLB odds.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-105)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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