Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Cardinals-Rockies, Orioles-Yankees, and Padres-Dodgers. Find up-to-date odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday, Sept. 26
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Cardinals vs Rockies NRFI/YRFI
| Kyle Freeland (L) (COL) | Stat | Kyle Gibson (R) (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 21-8 |
| 16.8% | K% | 20.4% |
| 5.2% | BB% | 9.1% |
| 1.37 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 1.57 | HR/9 | 1.20 |
The MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Colorado Rockies is scheduled for Thursday, Sep 26, at 3:10 p.m. at Coors Field, Denver, CO. Kyle Gibson, with a NRFI record of 21-8, will represent the Cardinals, while Kyle Freeland, holding a NRFI record of 12-8, will pitch for the Rockies. DraftKings Sportsbook lists the odds for YRFI at -150, indicating a higher likelihood of a run in the first inning. Conversely, the NRFI odds stand at +110, suggesting a lower probability. Calculating the implied probabilities, YRFI has a 60% chance of occurring, while NRFI has a 47.62% chance, based on the odds provided.
Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 21-8, with a WHIP of 1.33 and an HR/9 rate of 1.20. His K% stands at 20.4%, and BB% is at 9.1%. Gibson’s performance against left and right-hand hitters indicates a better control over righties with a WHIP of 1.16 and a lower HR/9 of 1.11.
Kyle Freeland presents a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-8 on the Rockies side, with a WHIP of 1.37 and an HR/9 of 1.57. Freeland’s K% is 16.8%, and his BB% is 5.2%. Analyzing his performance against left and right-hand hitters, Freeland struggles more against lefties, with a WHIP of 1.56 and an HR/9 of 1.69.
The Cardinals show a balanced attack against left-handed pitching, with Masyn Winn and Paul Goldschmidt highlighting the lineup’s potential with a .304 and .293 wOBA, respectively. Brendan Donovan adds depth with a .341 wOBA and a higher ISO of .155, indicating a blend of contact and power that could exploit Freeland’s left-hand pitching. The Cardinals’ hitters have maintained a solid approach at the plate, keeping their strikeouts low and walks high, which could pressure Freeland, who has a WHIP of 1.37 and an HR/9 rate of 1.57 against hitters this MLB season.
Against right-handed pitching, the Rockies’ lineup, led by Charlie Blackmon and Ezequiel Tovar, presents a challenge with their .323 and .321 wOBA. Ryan McMahon’s .332 wOBA and .147 ISO suggest potential for key hits. The lineup’s ability to draw walks and hit strategically, combined with Gibson’s WHIP of 1.33 and his tendency to allow home runs (HR/9 of 1.20), points towards a matchup where the Rockies could capitalize on any pitching mistakes.
Cardinals vs. Rockies NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-150)
Orioles vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI
| Corbin Burnes (R) (BAL) | Stat | Gerrit Cole (R) (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 23-8 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 13-3 |
| 20.9% | K% | 24.6% |
| 5.7% | BB% | 7.3% |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 1.18 |
| 1.00 | HR/9 | 1.12 |
Tonight’s game between the Orioles and Yankees shows DraftKings offering odds with a lean towards NRFI at -125, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. YRFI is tagged at -105, suggesting a slightly less probable outcome for a run in the first inning. Calculating these, NRFI odds imply a probability of approximately 55.6%, while YRFI odds translate to about 51.2%.
Corbin Burnes for the Orioles shows a solid season with a WHIP of 1.11, K% of 20.9, BB% of 5.7, and HR/9 of 1.00, alongside a NRFI/YRFI Record of 23-8. Gerrit Cole of the Yankees counters with a WHIP of 1.18, K% of 24.6, BB% of 7.3, HR/9 of 1.12, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 13-3. Both pitchers have demonstrated the ability to control the game, making NRFI odds a focal point for bettors.
Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn bring significant power against right-hand pitching, with ISOs of .267 and .165, respectively, indicating potential early scoring opportunities for the Orioles. Cedric Mullins and Anthony Santander contribute with wOBAs of .332 and .353, enhancing the Orioles’ chances to capitalize on NRFI odds. Their strikeout rates, however, ranging from 15.2% to 23.7%, could play into Cole’s strengths.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge stand out with their exceptional power against right-hand pitching, boasting ISOs of .292 and .363. Soto’s .428 wOBA and Judge’s .468 wOBA suggest they’re significant threats in any matchup, potentially challenging Burnes’ NRFI odds. Despite their high strikeout rates, 22.5% for Soto and 28.5% for Judge, their on-base capabilities remain a concern for opposing pitchers.
Orioles vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-105)
Padres vs Dodgers NRFI/YRFI
| Kyle Freeland (L) (COL) | Stat | Kyle Gibson (R) (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 21-8 |
| 16.8% | K% | 20.4% |
| 5.2% | BB% | 9.1% |
| 1.37 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 1.57 | HR/9 | 1.20 |
Tonight’s game between the Padres and Dodgers showcases tight betting odds for NRFI/YRFI markets. DraftKings lists the odds for YRFI at -115, indicating a slightly favored outcome for a run in the first inning. Conversely, NRFI odds are placed at -120, suggesting a marginally higher confidence in no runs being scored in the opening inning. Calculating the implied probabilities, YRFI stands at approximately 53.5%, while NRFI has a slightly higher probability at 54.5%.
Joe Musgrove shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 13-5 for the Padres, with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K% of 24.1. His HR/9 stands at 1.25, indicating a strong ability to limit home runs. Musgrove’s performance against left and right-hand hitters shows versatility, with a lower WHIP of 1.10 against lefties and a K% of 24.7 against right-hand hitters.
On the other hand, Walker Buehler presents a NRFI/YRFI record of 8-7 for the Dodgers. His WHIP is higher at 1.58, and his HR/9 rate is 2.05, showing a susceptibility to home runs. Buehler’s K% is 18.6, and his performance against left-hand hitters reveals a higher WHIP of 1.76 and HR/9 of 2.12, indicating challenges in those matchups.
The Padres bring a balanced attack against right-handed pitching, highlighted by Fernando Tatis Jr.’s impressive .265 ISO and .385 wOBA, which could spell trouble for Buehler’s tendency to give up home runs, evidenced by his 2.05 HR/9 rate. Luis Arraez and Manny Machado add depth with wOBAs of .335 and .340, respectively, making the Padres lineup a significant threat. With Buehler’s WHIP standing at 1.58 and a strikeout percentage of 18.6%, Padres hitters have a favorable matchup to exploit, especially considering their low strikeout rates and solid on-base percentages.
Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers against right-handers with a staggering .462 wOBA and .405 ISO, indicating a potential for high impact plays against Musgrove. Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman follow suit with wOBAs of .380 and .385, respectively, showcasing their prowess in getting on base and driving in runs. Musgrove, with a 1.19 WHIP and a 24.1% strikeout rate, faces a challenging task against a lineup that excels in power and discipline at the plate. The Dodgers’ lineup is well-equipped to challenge Musgrove, especially given their high walk rates and ability to minimize strikeouts.
Padres vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-115)
