NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (9/24/24): Odds, Pitching Matchups, Stats, & Predictions

Written By Editorial Team on September 24, 2024
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MLB Best Bets Sept. 24

Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Tuesday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Cubs-Phillies, Orioles-Yankees, and Padres-Dodgers. Find up-to-date odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Tuesday, Sept. 24

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io 

Cubs vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI

Tanner Banks (L) (PHI)StatJustin Steele (L) (CHC)
8-4NRFI/YRFI Record20-9
22.3%K%21.2%
5.3%BB%8.8%
0.93WHIP1.37
1.55HR/91.08

The matchup between the Cubs and Phillies shows close NRFI and YRFI odds at DraftKings, indicating a tight expectation for the first inning. DraftKings lists the NRFI at -120, suggesting a 54.55% probability, while the YRFI stands at -115, translating to a 53.49% chance. This scenario presents almost even expectations for runs in the first inning.

Justin Steele for the Cubs shows a promising NRFI option with a 19-4 NRFI/YRFI record, a 1.10 WHIP, and a 0.76 HR/9. Steele’s K% stands at 24, with a BB% of 6.7, indicating a strong ability to limit base runners and home runs. Tanner Banks of the Phillies counters with a 1-0 NRFI/YRFI record, a 1.27 WHIP, and a 0.78 HR/9. Banks have a K% of 24.1 and a BB% of 7.7, showing capability in strikeouts but slightly higher walk rates.

Dansby Swanson and Seiya Suzuki present a significant threat against left-hand pitchers, with Swanson boasting a .386 wOBA and Suzuki a .353 wOBA. The Cubs’ hitters show a balanced mix of power and precision, with Ian Happ leading off with a .326 wOBA and .186 ISO. The combination of high walk rates and solid ISO numbers from the Cubs’ lineup could challenge Banks.

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper stand out with their high wOBA of .401 and .383, respectively, indicating their strong performance against left-handed pitchers. Trea Turner adds speed and power with a .387 wOBA and .216 ISO. Alec Bohm’s low strikeout rate and .359 wOBA could be key in exploiting Steele’s weaknesses, especially given Steele’s 1.10 WHIP and .76 HR/9, which are crucial metrics for NRFI odds.

Cubs vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction: NFRI (-120)

Orioles vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI

Clarke Schmidt (R) (NYY)StatDean Kremer (R) (BAL)
11-3NRFI/YRFI Record20-3
24.8%K%22%
7.7%BB%9%
1.17WHIP1.25
0.83HR/91.23

For the upcoming MLB game between the Orioles and Yankees, DraftKings has set the NRFI odds at -110 and the YRFI odds at -125. This translates to a 52.4% implied probability for NRFI and a 55.6% implied probability for YRFI, indicating a slightly higher chance for a run in the first inning.

Dean Kremer of the Orioles shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 20-3, with a WHIP of 1.25, K% of 22, BB% of 9, and HR/9 at 1.23. Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees counters with an NRFI/YRFI record of 11-3, a WHIP of 1.17, K% of 24.8, BB% of 7.7, and HR/9 of 0.83. Both pitchers can control the game, making them critical for NRFI odds.

Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander bring significant power against right-handed pitching, with ISOs of .271 and .276, respectively, indicating potential for early runs. The Orioles lineup showcases a blend of contact and power, with Cedric Mullins and Ryan O’Hearn contributing to a team wOBA of .337 against righties.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto stand out with their high wOBA of .463 and .424 and ISOs of .355 and .289 against right-hand pitchers, suggesting they can challenge Kremer early in the game. The Yankees’ lineup against right-handers, including Gleyber Torres and Austin Wells, presents a formidable threat with a combined lower K% of 22.1% and a higher BB% of 16.05%.

Orioles vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-125)

Padres vs Dodgers NRFI/YRFI

Landon Knack (R) (LAD)StatMichael King (R) (SD)
8-3NRFI/YRFI Record24-5
23.7%K%27.6%
6.6%BB%8.5%
1.07WHIP1.20
1.77HR/90.91

The NRFI odds for tonight’s game between the Padres and Dodgers are set at -120 on DraftKings, indicating a slightly higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds are listed at -110, suggesting a competitive chance for a run to occur early in the game. Based on these odds, the implied probability for NRFI is approximately 54.5%, while YRFI holds a chance of around 52.4%.

Michael King showcases a solid season for the Padres with a WHIP of 1.20, K% of 27.6, BB% of 8.5, and HR/9 of 0.91, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 24-5. Landon Knack counters for the Dodgers, presenting a WHIP of 1.07, K% of 23.7, BB% of 6.6, HR/9 of 1.77, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 8-3. Both pitchers display strong control and the ability to limit home runs, which is crucial for NRFI odds.

Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado bring significant power against right-handed pitchers, with Tatis Jr. showcasing a .258 ISO and Machado a .199 ISO, indicating potential early scoring opportunities for the Padres. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar contribute with high on-base percentages, .341 and .368 wOBA, respectively.

Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts lead the Dodgers with impressive power and on-base capabilities against right-hand pitchers. Ohtani has a .404 ISO and .460 wOBA, and Betts has a .228 ISO, suggesting strong NRFI odds. Freddie Freeman adds to the lineup’s strength with a .205 ISO and .388 wOBA. The lineup’s balanced mix of high K% from Ohtani (26.5%) and low K% from Betts (14.9%) poses a varied challenge to King’s pitching style.

Padres vs Dodgers NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-110)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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