NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (9/18/24): Odds, Predictions, Stats, & Pitching Matchups

Written By Editorial Team on September 18, 2024
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NRFI YRFI Best Bets Sept 18

Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Phillies-Brewers, Giants-Orioles, and Yankees-Mariners. Get updated odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday, Sept. 18

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io

Phillies vs Brewers NRFI/YRFI

Freddy Peralta (R) (MIL)StatAaron Nola (R) (PHI)
20-10NRFI/YRFI Record23-7
25.7%K%22.9%
8.9%BB%6.2%
1.24WHIP1.20
1.38HR/91.39

For tonight’s game between the Phillies and Brewers, DraftKings has set the NRFI/YRFI odds, indicating a slight preference for NRFI at -130 over YRFI at -105. These MLB odds suggest a probability of approximately 56.5% for NRFI and 51.2% for YRFI, showcasing a tight expectation for the first inning.

Aaron Nola brings a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 23-7 into this matchup, with a WHIP of 1.20 and an HR/9 of 1.39. Nola’s K% stands at 22.9 with a BB% of 6.2, indicating strong control and strikeout ability. Freddy Peralta counters with a 20-10 NRFI/YRFI record, a WHIP of 1.24, and an HR/9 of 1.38. Peralta’s K% is higher at 25.7, though his BB% is also higher at 8.9, showing a slightly more aggressive but riskier approach.

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring significant power against right-handed pitching, with ISOs of .271 and .258, respectively, indicating potential for early scoring. The Phillies’ lineup showcases a blend of high strikeout rates and solid walk percentages, particularly Schwarber’s 36.3% K% and Harper’s 20% BB%, suggesting they can exploit Peralta’s 8.9% BB% and 1.38 HR/9.

With Jackson Chourio’s .360 wOBA and William Contreras’s .355 wOBA against right-handers, the Brewers have hitters capable of challenging Nola. Despite Nola’s solid 1.20 WHIP and 22.9% K%, Milwaukee’s lineup, featuring Chourio’s .240 ISO, poses a threat to Nola’s 1.39 HR/9.

Phillies vs Brewers NRFI/YRFI prediction: NFRI (-130)

Giants vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI

Dean Kremer (R) (BAL)StatHayden Birdsong (R) (SF)
20-2NRFI/YRFI Record11-2
21.7%K%26.2%
9.4%BB%13.8%
1.26WHIP1.42
1.14HR/91.58

The MLB odds for the Giants vs. Orioles game show a tight NRFI/YRFI market. DraftKings lists the odds at -115 for YRFI and -120 for NRFI, indicating a slightly higher probability for no run in the first inning. The implied probabilities are 53.5% for YRFI and 54.5% for NRFI, making it a close call for bettors.

Hayden Birdsong for the Giants shows a promising NRFI/YRFI record of 11-2, with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K% of 26.2. Birdsong’s HR/9 stands at 1.58, indicating a solid ability to limit home runs. Dean Kremer of the Orioles counters with a 20-2 NRFI/YRFI record, a WHIP of 1.26, and a K% of 21.7. Kremer’s HR/9 ratio of 1.14 suggests a strong control over allowing minimal home runs.

The Giants bring a mixed bag against right-hand pitching, with Mike Yastrzemski and Michael Conforto swinging left-handed, offering a solid challenge with their .319 and .295 wOBA, respectively. Matt Chapman, although right-handed, poses a threat with a .332 wOBA and .201 ISO.

Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn, swinging from the left, stand out against righties with impressive .398 and .329 wOBA, respectively. Henderson’s .282 ISO indicates significant power potential. The Orioles’ lineup showcases a balanced approach with lower strikeout rates and solid on-base skills, potentially challenging Birdsong’s 26.2 K% and 1.42 WHIP.

Giants vs Orioles NYRI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-115)

Yankees vs Mariners NRFI/YRFI

Bryce Miller (R) (SEA)StatNestor Cortes (L) (NYY)
24-5NRFI/YRFI Record21-8
23.5%K%22.1%
5.8%BB%5.1%
0.99WHIP1.15
1.13HR/91.28

The MLB odds for the Yankees vs. Mariners game show a preference towards NRFI at -125, indicating a slightly higher probability that the first inning will end without any runs. Conversely, YRFI odds stand at -105, suggesting a competitive chance for a run in the first inning. Calculations based on these odds give NRFI a 55.6% implied probability and YRFI a 51.2% chance.

Nestor Cortes of the Yankees shows a solid season performance with a WHIP of 1.15, K% of 22.1, BB% of 5.1, and HR/9 at 1.28, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 21-8. His ability to limit walks and home runs contributes positively to MLB odds for NRFI/YRFI bets. On the other side, Bryce Miller for the Mariners counters with a WHIP of 0.99, K% of 23.5, BB% of 5.8, and HR/9 at 1.13, boasting a NRFI/YRFI record of 24-5, making him a strong contender in NRFI/YRFI predictions.

The Yankees showcase hitters like Gleyber Torres and Aaron Judge, who present a significant challenge with their .187 and .445 ISO respectively against right-hand pitchers this season. With Juan Soto’s .411 wOBA and Aaron Judge’s eye-catching .509 wOBA, the Yankees’ lineup is poised to exploit any weaknesses.

On the Mariners side, players like Cal Raleigh and Randy Arozarena stand out with their .201 and .157 ISO against left-hand pitchers, indicating power potential in the lineup. Raleigh’s .336 wOBA and Arozarena’s .308 wOBA suggest they can capitalize on matchups against lefties.

Yankees vs Mariners NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-105)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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