The Monday MLB slate is upon us, find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for tonight’s games. Featuring bets from Reds-Marlins, Phillies-Dodgers, and Red Sox-Royals. Get updated MLB odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today
Reds vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI
| Roddery Muñoz (R) (MIA) | Stat | Nick Martinez (R) (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 4-1 |
| 18.9% | K% | 18.6% |
| 10.6% | BB% | 3% |
| 1.38 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 2.59 | HR/9 | 0.80 |
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the odds for YRFI at -125, indicating a somewhat favored outcome for a run in the first inning. Conversely, NRFI odds are set at -105. Based on these odds, the implied probability for YRFI stands at approximately 55.6%, while NRFI has a probability of around 51.2%.
Nick Martinez of the Reds shows a solid performance with a WHIP of 1.13, K% of 18.6, and a low HR/9 of 0.80. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 4-1, indicating a strong start potential. Martinez’s ability to limit walks and home runs could be key against the Marlins lineup. Roddery Muñoz for the Marlins presents a higher WHIP of 1.38, a K% of 18.9, and a significantly higher HR/9 of 2.59, with a NRFI/YRFI record of 5-7. Muñoz’s higher walk rate (BB% of 10.6) and susceptibility to home runs could be factors for bettors considering NRFI/YRFI bets.
There is value on the NRFI here despite not having a household pitching matchup, as Miami suppresses home runs. Munoz has been better against right-handers, which he should see two out of the three hitters to start. Elly De La Cruz is a threat on the basepaths but also has a 32% strikeout rate this season. If Munoz can avoid him as a base runner, the NRFI should be favorable here.
Reds vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-105)
Red Sox vs. Royals NRFI/YRFI
Brady Singer (R) (KC) Stat James Paxton (L) (BOS)
18-4 NRFI/YRFI Record 12-7
21.9% K% 16.4%
6.9% BB% 11.6%
1.16 WHIP 1.46
0.94 HR/9 1.15
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the odds for YRFI at -135 and NRFI at +100. These odds suggest a probability of 57.45% for YRFI and 50% for NRFI, indicating a slight favor towards a run happening in the first inning.
James Paxton, with a NRFI record of 12-7, will be pitching for the Red Sox against Brady Singer of the Royals, who has an NRFI record of 18-4. Paxton shows a WHIP of 1.46, with a K% of 16.4, and BB% of 11.6. His HR/9 stands at 1.15, with a NRFI/YRFI Record of 12-7, indicating a potential for early runs. Meanwhile, Singer counters with a WHIP of 1.16, K% of 21.9, BB% of 6.9, and a HR/9 of 0.94. Singer’s NRFI/YRFI Record is 18-4, suggesting stronger early innings. Paxton’s performance against left and right-hand hitters shows variability, with a better WHIP of 1.10 against left-hand hitters but struggles more against right-hand hitters with a WHIP of 1.55. Singer, on the other hand, excels against right-hand hitters with a WHIP of 0.77 and shows a higher challenge against left-hand hitters with a WHIP of 1.56.
While tonight’s game offers more value on the side of an NRFI bet, tonight’s lineup may pose some challenges on both sides of the dugout. Look for tonight’s Red Sox vs. Royals game to offer some quick action in the first inning before each pitcher settles into any sort of strikeout consistency.
Red Sox vs. Royals NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-135)
Phillies vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI
| Tyler Glasnow (R) (LAD) | Stat | Aaron Nola (R) (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 17-3 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 17-5 |
| 30.9% | K% | 23.3% |
| 6.8% | BB% | 6.1% |
| 0.96 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 1.04 | HR/9 | 1.25 |
For tonight’s game between the Phillies and Dodgers, the odds from DraftKings indicate a preference for NRFI at -145, suggesting a lower probability for a run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI is set at +105, indicating a slightly higher risk but with a potential for a run in the first inning. The implied probability for NRFI is approximately 59.18%, while YRFI has a 48.78% chance based on these MLB odds.
Aaron Nola brings a solid performance into this matchup with a WHIP of 1.09, a K% of 23.3, and a HR/9 of 1.25. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 17-5. Tyler Glasnow counters with a WHIP of 0.96, a K% of 30.9, and an HR/9 of 1.04, holding an NRFI/YRFI record of 17-3. Both pitchers exhibit strong control and strikeout ability, crucial for MLB odds considerations.
Both pitchers have been fairly consistent in not giving up runs in the first inning. However, both the Phillies and Dodgers have the lineups to counter that consistency, especially in the first inning. Given the YRFI odds are +105, take that opportunity for plus money and roll with it. It also helps that both teams enter tonight at over 38% YRFI.
Phillies vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (+105)
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
