Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from Braves-Phillies, Blue Jays-Red Sox, and Orioles-Dodgers. Get updated MLB odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NRFI/YRFI best bets today
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Braves vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI
| Cristopher Sánchez (L) (PHI) | Stat | Charlie Morton (R) (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 19-6 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 18-6 |
| 18.5% | K% | 23.2% |
| 5.6% | BB% | 8.4% |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 0.37 | HR/9 | 1.37 |
The MLB odds for tonight’s game between the Braves and Phillies show DraftKings offering -125 for YRFI and -115 for NRFI. These odds translate to implied probabilities, with YRFI having a 55.56% chance of occurring, while NRFI stands at a 53.49% probability.
Charlie Morton for the Braves shows a solid performance with a 1.30 WHIP, 23.2 K%, and 1.37 HR/9, alongside an NRFI/YRFI record of 18-6. Cristopher Sánchez of the Phillies counters with a 1.27 WHIP, 18.5 K%, and an even lower HR/9 at 0.37, with an NRFI/YRFI record of 19-6. These stats indicate a strong potential for NRFI bets considering their ability to limit home runs and maintain low WHIPs.
Jorge Soler and Whit Merrifield show promise against left-hand pitching with Soler’s .171 ISO and Merrifield’s .310 wOBA, indicating potential for early scoring. Marcell Ozuna stands out with a .412 wOBA and .301 ISO, suggesting significant power against lefties. Matt Olson, despite being left-handed, contributes with a .194 ISO and .314 wOBA, adding depth to the Braves’ threat against Sánchez’s pitching style.
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring power against right-hand pitching, with Schwarber’s .413 wOBA and .195 ISO, and Harper’s .396 wOBA and .236 ISO, indicating potential for high-scoring plays. Trea Turner and Alec Bohm complement Turner’s .389 wOBA and Bohm’s low strikeout rate of 9.3%, enhancing the Phillies’ capability to capitalize on Morton’s 1.37 HR/9 and 1.30 WHIP.
Both pitchers for tonight’s game have been pretty consistent in not allowing first-inning runs. Yes, the Braves and Phillies have lineups that can string hits and runs together in the first inning. But Morton and Sánchez counter with early-inning success to stymie the hitters they’ll face.
Braves vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (-115)
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI
| Kutter Crawford (R) (BOS) | Stat | Bowden Francis (R) (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 18-9 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 5-3 |
| 22.3% | K% | 23.7% |
| 6.5% | BB% | 6.4% |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.07 |
| 1.70 | HR/9 | 1.63 |
Pitchers Bowden Francis and Kutter Crawford will start for the Blue Jays and Red Sox, respectively, with NRFI records of 5-3 and 18-9. The betting odds indicate a slight preference for NRFI at DraftKings, with -130 compared to YRFI at -105. This translates to an implied probability of 56.52% for NRFI and 51.22% for YRFI, suggesting a tighter expectation on whether there will be a run in the first inning.
Bowden Francis of the Blue Jays showcases a solid WHIP of 1.07, with a striking K% of 23.7 and a controlled BB% of 6.4. His HR/9 stands at 1.63, contributing to a NRFI/YRFI record of 5-3.
Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox presents a competitive edge with a WHIP of 1.09, K% of 22.3, and BB% of 6.5. His HR/9 rate is 1.70, alongside an NRFI/YRFI record of 18-9, making him a key player in MLB betting discussions. His ability to manage home runs and walks effectively plays a significant role in game outcomes.
When analyzing performances against left and right-hand hitters, Francis and Crawford both display versatility. Francis’ WHIP slightly increases against right-hand hitters to 1.08, while Crawford’s WHIP rises to 1.14 against righties.
Considering the pitcher’s stats, Bowden Francis and Kutter Crawford have shown vulnerabilities, with Crawford’s 1.70 HR/9 indicating potential issues against power hitters. These elements provide a nuanced perspective for MLB fans and bettors analyzing the game’s odds.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-105)
Orioles vs Dodgers NRFI/YRFI
| Cade Povich (L) (BAL) | Stat | Bobby Miller (R) (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | NRFI/YRFI record | 4-5 |
| 15% | K% | 19.5% |
| 11% | BB% | 10% |
| 1.62 | WHIP | 1.74 |
| 1.66 | HR/9 | 2.50 |
The MLB odds for tonight’s game between the Orioles and Dodgers indicate a preference for YRFI at DraftKings, with odds at -140, translating to a 58.3% probability. Conversely, NRFI odds stand at +105, implying a 48.8% probability. These figures suggest a slightly higher chance for a run in the first inning, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
Cade Povich of the Orioles shows a WHIP of 1.62, with a K% of 15, BB% of 11, and HR/9 of 1.66, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 5-5. Bobby Miller from the Dodgers counters with a WHIP of 1.74, a K% of 19.5, BB% of 10, HR/9 of 2.50, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 4-5. Both pitchers present MLB odds considerations for NRFI/YRFI bets.
With Colton Cowser and Gunnar Henderson showing potential against right-hand pitchers, their .150 and .220 ISO, respectively, indicate they can exploit Miller’s 2.50 HR/9 weakness. Anthony Santander’s .282 ISO and .346 wOBA highlight the Orioles’ threat from both sides of the plate. Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman stand out with .386 and .206 ISO against lefties, posing a significant challenge for Povich, who has a 1.66 HR/9 and WHIP of 1.62. Mookie Betts with a .384 wOBA and Teoscar Hernández’s .187 ISO further stress Povich’s struggles, especially his 15 K% and 11 BB% against hitters.
The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in MLB, and that is evident in their YRFI percentage of over 37%. The fact that Cade Povich has a NRFI/YRFI record of 5-5 makes the bet tonight pretty clear. And that’s if the Orioles don’t score in the top half of the first inning since Bobby Miller is 4-5.
Orioles vs Dodgers NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-140)
