NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (8/22/24): Odds, Prediction, Stats, & Pitching Matchups

Written By Editorial Team on August 22, 2024
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NRFI/YRFI Best Bets 8/22/24

Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for tonight’s games. Featuring bets from Mets-Padres, Phillies-Braves, and Astros-Orioles. Get updated MLB odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io

Astros vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI

Corbin Burnes (R) (BAL)StatSpencer Arrighetti (R) (HOU)
19-6NRFI/YRFI Record14-7
21.5%K%26.4%
5.7%BB%10.3%
1.11WHIP1.46
1.05HR/91.38

For the upcoming MLB game featuring the Astros against the Orioles, betting odds from DraftKings show a slight preference towards a NRFI at -115, compared to a YRFI at -120. These odds translate to implied probabilities, with the NRFI having a 53.5% chance of occurring, while the YRFI stands at 54.5%.

Spencer Arrighetti of the Astros and Corbin Burnes of the Orioles are tonight’s starting pitchers. Spencer Arrighetti and Corbin Burnes showcase contrasting stats for the upcoming Astros vs. Orioles game. Arrighetti, with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K% of 26.4, holds a NRFI/YRFI record of 14-7, indicating a stronger tendency towards NRFI outcomes. Burnes presents a WHIP of 1.11, a K% of 21.5, and a more favorable NRFI/YRFI record of 19-6, suggesting a higher likelihood of NRFI success in this matchup.

Examining home and away splits, Arrighetti’s WHIP slightly improves against right-handed hitters to 1.37, with a K% of 25.3, while Burnes excels in home games with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K% of 22.7. Both pitchers show effectiveness in limiting home runs, with HR/9 rates of 1.38 and 1.05, respectively. 

The Orioles’ lineup, featuring high ISOs and wOBAs, could pose a significant challenge to Arrighetti. Meanwhile, the Astros’ lineup presents a balanced attack with a mix of high wOBA and solid ISO numbers, hinting at potential challenges for Burnes.

Astros vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-115)


Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI

Spencer Schwellenbach (R) (ATL)StatCristopher Sánchez (L) (PHI)
12-1NRFI/YRFI Record18-6
27.2%K%18%
4.5%BB%5.7%
1.07WHIP1.25
1.19HR/90.32

The MLB odds for the upcoming game between the Phillies and Braves show DraftKings Sportsbook favoring NRFI at -130 and YRFI at -105. The implied probability for NRFI is approximately 56.5%, indicating a slight preference for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI’s odds suggest a 51.2% chance of a run occurring early in the game.

Cristopher Sánchez shows a NRFI/YRFI record of 18-6 with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K% of 18. His HR/9 stands at 0.32, indicating strong control over limiting home runs. Spencer Schwellenbach brings a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-1 to the table, with a commendable WHIP of 1.07 and a K% of 27.2. 

Through the first two games of this series, a run has yet to be scored in the first inning. And that won’t change tonight. Neither Cristopher Sánchez nor Spencer Schwellenbach allows a first-inning run. The Phillies lineup could throw a wrench in the NRFI, but Schwellenbach has been consistent this season.

Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-130)


Mets vs. Padres NRFI/YRFI

Dylan Cease (R) (SD)StatLuis Severino (R) (NYM)
16-10NRFI/YRFI Record22-2
30.7%K%18.8%
8.3%BB%7.6%
1.02WHIP1.22
1.03HR/91.07

The odds indicate a preference towards NRFI at -150, while YRFI is set at +110 according to DraftKings. This translates to an implied probability of approximately 60% for NRFI and about 47.6% for YRFI. Luis Severino of the Mets shows a solid season with a WHIP of 1.22, K% of 18.8, BB% of 7.6, HR/9 of 1.07, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 22-2. Dylan Cease from the Padres counters with a WHIP of 1.02, K% of 30.7, BB% of 8.3, HR/9 of 1.03, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 16-10.

Severino will see three lefties right off the bat, but has modest numbers against them with a .320 wOBA and .160 ISO allowed. Cease on the other hand will have his hands full with a couple of power bats right away. Cease has shown early game struggles at times, but his overall numbers are worth following.

Mets vs. Padres NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-145)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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