NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (8/21/24): Odds, Prediction, Stats, & Pitching Matchups

Written By Editorial Team on August 21, 2024
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NRFI/YRFI Best Bets 8/21/24

Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for tonight’s games. Featuring bets from Mariners-Dodgers, Phillies-Braves, and Guardians-Yankees. Get updated MLB odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io

Guardians vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI

Corbin Burnes (R) (BAL)StatSpencer Arrighetti (R) (HOU)
19-6NRFI/YRFI Record14-7
21.5%K%26.4%
5.7%BB%10.3%
1.11WHIP1.46
1.05HR/91.38

Joey Cantillo of the Guardians, with a NRFI record of 1-2, faces Nestor Cortes of the Yankees, who has a NRFI record of 17-8. DraftKings has set the odds at -130 for YRFI and -105 for NRFI. These odds imply a probability of 56.5% for YRFI and 51.2% for NRFI, indicating a slightly higher chance of a run in the first inning.

Cleveland’s Joey Cantillo shows a WHIP of 1.61, a K% of 15.3, and a BB% of 10.2, with a HR/9 rate of 2.77. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ Nestor Cortes counters with a WHIP of 1.19, a K% of 22.2, BB% of 4.8, and a HR/9 of 1.34.

Cantillo’s performance against right-handed hitters shows a better WHIP of 1.12 and a lower HR/9 of 1.69, indicating a strength in these matchups. Cortes has demonstrated consistency both at home and against left and right-handed hitters, with a home WHIP of 0.96 and HR/9 of 1.22, highlighting his ability to control games at Yankee Stadium.

Joey Cantillo struggles with a 1.61 WHIP and a 2.77 HR/9 rate, indicating potential vulnerabilities against the Yankees’ powerful hitters. Nestor Cortes, with a more solid 1.19 WHIP and a 1.34 HR/9, shows better control and efficiency against hitters, an essential factor for tonight’s MLB betting odds.

Guardians vs. Yankees NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-130)


Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI

Max Fried (L) (ATL)StatAaron Nola (R) (PHI)
17-4NRFI/YRFI Record19-6
22.1%K%22.3%
8.6%BB%6.1%
1.25WHIP1.16
0.74HR/91.29

The MLB odds for tonight’s game between the Phillies and Braves show a preference for NRFI at -135, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI stands at +100, suggesting a lower run probability in the initial inning. Specifically, the implied probability for NRFI is approximately 57.4%, while YRFI has a chance of around 50%.

Aaron Nola brings a solid performance with a WHIP of 1.16, K% of 22.3, BB% of 6.1, and HR/9 of 1.29, alongside a NRFI/YRFI Record of 19-6. Max Fried counters with a WHIP of 1.25, K% of 22.1, BB% of 8.6, and HR/9 of 0.74, holding a NRFI/YRFI Record of 17-4. Both pitchers show strong potential for MLB odds considerations.

Aaron Nola and Max Fried simply don’t allow runs in the first inning. On the Braves side, their first-inning run percentage is only 29.6%, while the Phillies are 37.6%. So if a run will be scored, it’ll come from the Philly half of the first inning. And that’s unlikely with Fried on the bump tonight.

Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-135)


Mariners vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI

Jack Flaherty (R) (LAD)StatLogan Gilbert (R) (SEA)
15-5NRFI/YRFI Record22-3
31.3%K%24.4%
4.6%BB%4.6%
1.00WHIP0.88
1.39HR/91.01

The odds from DraftKings are leaning towards a NRFI at -125, indicating a slightly higher probability of no run in the first inning. Conversely, the YRFI odds stand at -110. Logan Gilbert for the Mariners shows a solid season with a WHIP of 0.88, K% of 24.4, BB% of 4.6, and HR/9 at 1.01. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 22-3, indicating strong early-game performance. Jack Flaherty of the Dodgers counters with a WHIP of 1.00, K% of 31.3, BB% of 4.6, and HR/9 at 1.39, with a NRFI/YRFI record of 15-5.

Victor Robles and Randy Arozarena bring a mix of speed and power at the top for the Mariners, with Robles showing a .326 wOBA and Arozarena a .301 wOBA against right-hand pitching. Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez add depth, with Raleigh’s .322 wOBA and .196 ISO indicating potential for extra-base hits. Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman stand out for the Dodgers with exceptional wOBA of .446 and .395, respectively, against right-hand pitching. Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernández add significant threats, with Betts boasting a .392 wOBA and Hernández a .330 wOBA.

Mariners vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-125)

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