NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (8/13/24): Odds, Prediction, Stats, Pitching Matchups

Written By Editorial Team on August 13, 2024 - Last Updated on August 14, 2024
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MLB NRFI/YRFI Best Bets 8/13/24

Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for tonight’s games. Featuring bets from Marlins-Phillies, Mariners-Tigers, and Dodgers-Brewers. Get updated MLB odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io

Mariners vs. Tigers NRFI/YRFI

Tarik Skubal (L) (DET)StatGeorge Kirby (R) (SEA)
18-5NRFI/YRFI Record19-5
29.8%K%23.4%
4.9%BB%2.7%
0.94WHIP1.02
0.82HR/90.83

The Mariners vs. Tigers shows DraftKings offering NRFI at -140 and YRFI at +105. This implies a higher probability for NRFI, calculated at approximately 58.3%, and the YRFI stands at a 48.8%. George Kirby for the Mariners presents a WHIP of 1.02, a K% of 23.4, and a BB% of 2.7, alongside a HR/9 rate of 0.83, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 19-5. Tarik Skubal of the Tigers counters with a WHIP of 0.94, a K% of 29.8, a BB% of 4.9, a HR/9 of 0.82, and a similar NRFI/YRFI record of 18-5.

Julio Rodríguez and Randy Arozarena bring the right-handed power against lefties, but Rodríguez is posting only a .280 wOBA and Arozarena a .308 wOBA this season. Matt Vierling and Colt Keith set the stage with Vierling’s .287 wOBA and Keith’s .319 wOBA against right-hand pitching. Kirby has done a great job of limiting both sides of the plate, and Skubel is a Cy Young frontrunner, holding right-handers to a .261 wOBA and .134 ISO.

Mariners vs. Tigers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-140)


Marlins vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI

Taijuan Walker (R) (PHI)StatValente Bellozo (R) (MIA)
6-4NRFI/YRFI Record3-1
18.3%K%22.6%
8.9%BB%6%
1.49WHIP1.02
2.04HR/90.87

For tonight’s game between the Marlins and Phillies, the odds from DraftKings suggest a preference towards a YRFI at -145, indicating a higher probability of a run in the first inning. Conversely, NRFI odds stand at +105, suggesting a lower probability. Specifically, YRFI odds translate to a 59.18% chance of occurring, while NRFI odds imply a 48.78% chance based on the provided MLB odds.

  • DraftKings: YRFI -145
  • DraftKings: NRFI +105

Valente Bellozo of the Marlins shows a WHIP of 1.02, a K% of 22.6, a BB% of 6, and a HR/9 of 0.87, alongside a NRFI/YRFI Record of 3-1. Taijuan Walker for the Phillies counters with a WHIP of 1.49, K% of 18.3, BB% of 8.9, HR/9 of 2.04, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 6-4. Both pitchers’ stats are crucial for MLB odds in the upcoming game.

The Phillies have one of the best top-end lineups in baseball. That helps explain why Philadelphia has a YRFI of over 38%. It’s also why the odds are so heavy in favor of a YRFI for tonight’s game. While it’s not the best value, it’s the play for tonight’s game, especially since the Phillies are playing at home, where that lineup is even better.

Marlins vs. Phillies NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-145)


Dodgers vs. Brewers NRFI/YRFI

Colin Rea (R) (MIL)StatGavin Stone (R) (LAD)
12-7NRFI/YRFI Record15-6
18.9%K%17.6%
6.9%BB%6.3%
1.18WHIP1.31
1.18HR/91.08

DraftKings has set the YRFI odds at -125 and NRFI odds at -110 for tonight’s Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup, translating to an implied probability of 55.56% for YRFI and 52.38% for NRFI.

Gavin Stone for the Dodgers showcases a WHIP of 1.31, a K% of 17.6, and a BB% of 6.3, alongside a HR/9 of 1.08 and a NRFI/YRFI record of 15-6. Colin Rea of the Brewers counters with a WHIP of 1.18, a K% of 18.9, BB% of 6.9, HR/9 rate of 1.18, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-7. Both pitchers have demonstrated efficiency in controlling the game’s first innings, suggesting limited run action early on.

Looking at performance specifics, Stone has a slightly better WHIP against right-handed batters at 1.25, while Rea excels at home with a WHIP of 1.02. Stone’s K% against lefties stands at 20.2, compared to Rea’s 20.2 K% against righties.

The Dodgers’ lineup exhibits a balanced threat with high walk rates, especially from Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, challenging Rea’s control. Meanwhile, The Brewers’ lineup, with moderate strikeout and walk percentages from players like Brice Turang and William Contreras, could exploit Stone’s 1.31 WHIP and 1.08 HR/9 stats.

Dodgers vs. Brewers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-110)

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