NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Today (10/09/24): ALDS & NLDS Odds, Stats, Pitching Matchups & Predictions

Written By Editorial Team on October 9, 2024
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NRFI YRFI Best Bets Oct 9

Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday’s ALDS and NLDS Game 3 and Game 4 MLB games. Featuring bets from the Tigers-Guardians, Phillies-Mets, and Yankees-Royals. Find up-to-date odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday, Oct. 9

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io 

Tigers vs Guardians NRFI/YRFI

Keider Montero (R) (DET)StatAlex Cobb (R) (CLE)
11-5NRFI/YRFI Record2-1
18.2%K%16.1%
7.3%BB%4.8%
1.33WHIP1.04
1.74HR/90.55

DraftKings has set odds for the Guardians vs Tigers Game 3, indicating a preference for NRFI at -145, suggesting a lower probability for a run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI is set at +110, indicating a slightly higher risk but with a potential for a higher reward. Calculating the implied probabilities, NRFI has a 59.2% chance of happening, while YRFI stands at a 47.6% chance. These odds are crucial for bettors focusing on the first inning outcomes.

Alex Cobb of the Guardians shows a solid season performance with a WHIP of 1.04, K% of 16.1, BB% of 4.8, and HR/9 of 0.55, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 2-1. Keider Montero for the Tigers counters with a WHIP of 1.33, K% of 18.2, BB% of 7.3, and HR/9 of 1.74, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 11-5.

Examining their splits, Cobb against left-handers has a WHIP of 1.17 and HR/9 of 1.17, while against right-handers, he improves with a WHIP of 0.92 and no home runs allowed. Montero’s performance at home is marked by a WHIP of 1.25 and HR/9 of 1.46, showing a degree of vulnerability. Against left and right-handed hitters, Montero’s WHIP slightly varies (1.23 vs. 1.45) with a higher HR/9 against right-handers at 1.94. These specifics offer insights into their potential performance in the upcoming game, influencing MLB betting strategies, especially in the NRFI/YRFI betting market.

The Guardians showcase a balanced attack against right-hand pitchers, highlighted by Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor’s solid plate discipline, boasting a .341 and .342 wOBA respectively. José Ramírez brings power with a .226 ISO, indicating potential for impactful hits. The lineup presents a challenge for righties, potentially affecting MLB betting odds in favor of early runs.

Detroit’s lineup against right-handed pitching features Kerry Carpenter’s standout .414 wOBA and .326 ISO, signaling a significant threat for extra-base hits and home runs. Riley Greene adds depth with a .375 wOBA and high walk rate, suggesting opportunities for the Tigers to get on base and score, impacting MLB odds for early innings performance.

Alex Cobb shows efficiency with a 1.04 WHIP and a modest 16.1 K%, indicating a balanced approach against hitters but with room for left-handers to capitalize. Keider Montero’s 1.33 WHIP and 18.2 K% suggest vulnerability, especially to left-handed batters with power, potentially shifting MLB betting dynamics based on pitcher-hitter matchups.

Guardians vs. Tigers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (+110)

Phillies vs Mets NRFI/YRFI

Jose Quintana (L) (NYM)StatRanger Suárez (L) (PHI)
22-9NRFI/YRFI Record20-7
18.4%K%22.7%
8.6%BB%6.4%
1.25WHIP1.20
1.16HR/90.84

For the upcoming Phillies vs Mets Game 4, DraftKings lists the odds for a No Run First Inning (NRFI) at -130, suggesting a higher likelihood of no runs being scored in the first inning. The Yes Run First Inning (YRFI) odds are at -105, indicating a slightly less probable outcome for runs to be scored. Calculating the implied probabilities gives us 56.5% for NRFI and 51.2% for YRFI, based on DraftKings odds.

Ranger Suárez of the Phillies shows a solid season with a WHIP of 1.20, a K% of 22.7, and a BB% of 6.4, alongside a HR/9 of 0.84. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 20-7, indicating strong early innings performance. Jose Quintana for the Mets counters with a WHIP of 1.25, a K% of 18.4, and a BB% of 8.6, with a HR/9 of 1.16, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 22-9.

Looking at venue performance, Suárez away stats reveal a WHIP of 1.15 and a HR/9 of 0.85, suggesting effectiveness on the road. Against left and right-handed hitters, he maintains a consistent WHIP of 1.13 and 1.22 respectively, showing versatility. Quintana at home presents a WHIP of 1.21 and a higher HR/9 of 1.82, indicating potential vulnerabilities. His performance against left and right-hand hitters shows a slight increase in WHIP and HR/9, which could influence MLB betting strategies.

Against left-hand pitchers like Quintana, the Phillies bring notable power with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper leading. Schwarber’s .189 ISO and Harper’s .219 ISO indicate potential for impactful hits. Trea Turner adds speed and contact with a .223 ISO and a .381 wOBA, making the top of the Phillies lineup dangerous. Their collective performance, including a mix of high strikeout rates and solid walk percentages, suggests they can challenge Quintana’s 1.25 WHIP and 1.16 HR/9 metrics.

The Mets lineup showcases power against lefties, with Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso ready to exploit Suárez’s pitching. Lindor’s .282 ISO and Alonso’s .232 ISO highlight their capability to drive in runs. Mark Vientos, despite a high strikeout rate, presents a .246 ISO, indicating potential for big hits. Suárez’s 1.20 WHIP and modest HR/9 of 0.84 will be tested by the Mets’ mix of power and discipline at the plate.

MLB betting enthusiasts and fans analyzing these matchups will note the Phillies’ and Mets’ potential to capitalize on their opposing pitchers’ vulnerabilities. Both lineups have hitters capable of altering game dynamics, making the upcoming game intriguing for those looking at odds and performance metrics.

Phillies vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-105)

Yankees vs Royals NRFI/YRFI

Seth Lugo (R) (KC)StatClarke Schmidt (R) (NYY)
29-4NRFI/YRFI Record13-3
21.3%K%25.3%
5.6%BB%8.2%
1.09WHIP1.18
0.70HR/90.84

For the upcoming Yankees vs Royals Game 3, the betting odds are leaning towards a NRFI, with DraftKings listing the NRFI at -125 and the YRFI at -105. These odds suggest a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Specifically, the NRFI probability is approximately 55.6%, while the YRFI stands at around 51.2%.

Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees showcases a WHIP of 1.18, a K% of 25.3, and a BB% of 8.2, with an HR/9 of 0.84. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 13-3. Seth Lugo for the Royals presents a WHIP of 1.09, a K% of 21.3, and a BB% of 5.6, complemented by an HR/9 of 0.70, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 29-4. Both pitchers have demonstrated effectiveness in controlling the game’s pace, crucial for MLB betting odds.

Examining their performance in different settings, Schmidt has a lower WHIP against right-handed hitters at 1.06 and a notable K% of 31.5 against lefties. Lugo, on the other hand, excels at home with a WHIP of 1.14 and against right-handers with a superior WHIP of 0.93.

The Yankees showcase hitters like Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, who demonstrate significant power and discipline at the plate against right-hand pitchers, highlighted by Soto’s .424 wOBA and Judge’s .467 wOBA and .365 ISO. Gleyber Torres and Austin Wells add depth, with Torres presenting a .299 wOBA and Wells a .330 wOBA and .198 ISO, indicating potential for both contact and power. MLB betting enthusiasts will note the Yankees’ balanced threat, combining high walk rates with potent slugging percentages against righties.

On the Royals’ side, Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez stand out against right-hand pitching, with Witt Jr. boasting a .423 wOBA and .276 ISO, while Perez offers a .328 wOBA and .175 ISO. Michael Massey and Vinnie Pasquantino provide solid support, with Massey’s .317 wOBA and Pasquantino’s .335 wOBA, suggesting the Royals have hitters who can capitalize on matchups against right-handed pitching. Their performance is crucial for MLB betting odds, highlighting a mix of contact hitting and power potential.

Clarke Schmidt brings a 25.3 K% and a 1.18 WHIP into the game, showing effectiveness in strikeouts and limiting base runners, which is key for NRFI bets. Seth Lugo, with a 21.3 K% and a 1.09 WHIP, demonstrates control and an ability to keep the ball in the park, indicated by a 0.70 HR/9 rate, making early innings crucial for betting insights. Both pitchers’ stats against opposing batters’ handedness provide a nuanced view for MLB betting strategies.

Yankees vs. Royals NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-125)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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