Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday’s MLB Wild Card games. Featuring bets from the Tigers-Astros, Orioles-Royals, and Braves-Padres. Find up-to-date odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday, Oct. 2
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Tigers vs Astros NRFI/YRFI
| Hunter Brown (R) (HOU) | Stat | Tyler Holton (L) (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 22-8 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 7-2 |
| 24.2% | K% | 21.5% |
| 8.1% | BB% | 4.7% |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 0.78 |
| 0.95 | HR/9 | 0.67 |
For the MLB Wild Card game Wednesday between the Tigers and Astros, DraftKings Sportsbook betting odds indicate a preference for NRFI at -135, suggesting a lower probability for a run in the first inning. In contrast, YRFI stands at +100, implying a potential for an early score. Based on the provided odds, the implied probability for NRFI is approximately 57.45%, indicating a higher likelihood of no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI has an implied probability of around 50%, suggesting a balanced chance for an early game score.
Tyler Holton from the Tigers shows a promising NRFI/YRFI record of 7-2, with a WHIP of 0.78, K% of 21.5, BB% of 4.7, and HR/9 of 0.67. Hunter Brown of the Astros counters with a NRFI/YRFI record of 22-8, a WHIP of 1.27, K% of 24.2, BB% of 8.1, and HR/9 of 0.95. Both pitchers have demonstrated effective control and the ability to limit home runs, key factors for MLB betting enthusiasts analyzing NRFI/YRFI odds.
Looking closer at venue performance, Holton’s WHIP drops to 0.65 when playing away, indicating tighter control in away games. Brown, on the other hand, has a WHIP of 1.19 at home, showing consistency in limiting opponent’s scoring opportunities at the Astros’ home ground. Against left and right-hand hitters, Holton maintains a steady WHIP of 0.65 and 0.88 respectively, while Brown’s performance slightly varies with a WHIP of 1.14 against left-hand hitters and 1.43 against right-hand hitters.
The Tigers show variability against right-hand pitchers, highlighted by Parker Meadows and Riley Greene, who present a mix of power and on-base capabilities, Meadows with a .318 wOBA and Greene adding power with a .220 ISO. However, high strikeout rates for Meadows (35.1%) and Kerry Carpenter (35.7%) could play into Brown’s strengths, given his 24.2 K% this season. The Tigers’ performance against righties, coupled with their strikeouts, could influence MLB betting odds.
Against left-hand pitchers, the Astros lineup, featuring Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez, shows strong on-base skills and power, Alvarez with a .387 wOBA and a .262 ISO stands out. Kyle Tucker’s exceptional .448 wOBA and .348 ISO against lefties suggest potential for high scoring, making the Astros favorites in MLB betting circles. Holton’s solid season stats, including a 0.784 WHIP and a low HR/9 of 0.67, indicate a competitive matchup, but the Astros’ power and discipline at the plate could challenge him.
Tigers vs. Astros NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-135)
Orioles vs Royals NRFI/YRFI
| Zach Eflin (R) (BAL) | Stat | Seth Lugo (R) (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| 20-8 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 29-4 |
| 19.4% | K% | 21.3% |
| 3.5% | BB% | 5.6% |
| 1.15 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 1.20 | HR/9 | 0.70 |
Wednesday’s upcoming MLB Wild Card game pits the Royals vs Orioles for their second game of the series. The betting odds indicate a preference for NRFI at -140, suggesting a higher probability of no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI is listed at +100, indicating a lower probability for a run in the first inning. Calculating the implied probabilities from these odds, NRFI stands at approximately 58.3%, while YRFI has a probability of around 50%.
Seth Lugo for the Royals showcases a solid season with a WHIP of 1.09, striking out 21.3% of batters faced, and maintaining a HR/9 of 0.70. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 29-4, indicating strong early innings performance. Zach Eflin of the Orioles counters with a WHIP of 1.15, a 19.4% strikeout rate, and a HR/9 of 1.20, with a 20-8 NRFI/YRFI record. Both pitchers have demonstrated the ability to control the game early.
In away games, Lugo’s WHIP slightly improves to 1.03, and he shows better control with a lower BB% of 5.8. Against right-hand hitters, his WHIP drops to 0.93, indicating stronger outcomes. Eflin, playing at home for the Orioles, records a WHIP of 0.95 and a lower HR/9 rate of 1.02, suggesting a slightly tighter game in home conditions. Against left-hand hitters, Eflin’s WHIP increases to 1.06, but he maintains a consistent performance with a K% of 22.2.
With Michael Massey and Vinnie Pasquantino swinging from the left, they bring a notable challenge to Eflin, showcasing a .317 and .335 wOBA respectively. Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez add power from the right, combining for a significant .699 wOBA against right-handed pitching. This mix could exploit Eflin’s 1.20 HR/9 rate and his struggles to maintain a low WHIP of 1.15 against similar opponents, potentially increasing the MLB betting odds in favor of the Royals.
Gunnar Henderson and Colton Cowser, with their .392 and .347 wOBA respectively, pose a left-handed threat that could test Lugo’s ability to keep his WHIP low at 1.09. Anthony Santander offers versatility with a .349 wOBA from both sides of the plate. Considering Lugo’s solid performance with a 21.3 K% and only 0.70 HR/9, it suggests a potentially tight matchup.
Seth Lugo’s 21.3 K% and low HR/9 indicate efficiency against hitters, while Zach Eflin’s higher HR/9 could be a point of concern against the Royals’ power hitters. Both pitchers have demonstrated control, but their performance against the opposing lineup’s key hitters could be decisive in the upcoming game.
Royals vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (+100)
Braves vs Padres NRFI/YRFI
| Joe Musgrove (R) (SD) | Stat | Max Fried (L) (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 14-5 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 23-6 |
| 24.1% | K% | 22.6% |
| 5.5% | BB% | 7.8% |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.16 |
| 1.26 | HR/9 | 0.67 |
For the upcoming MLB game between the Braves and Padres, the betting odds are leaning towards NRFI according to DraftKings, with NRFI odds at -150 and YRFI odds at +110. These odds translate to an implied probability of 60% for NRFI and approximately 47.6% for YRFI, indicating a higher likelihood of no run in the first inning according to these sportsbook figures.
Max Fried of the Braves shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 23-6, with a WHIP of 1.16, K% of 22.6, BB% of 7.8, and HR/9 of 0.67. Joe Musgrove for the Padres counters with a NRFI/YRFI record of 14-5, WHIP at 1.17, K% of 24.1, BB% of 5.5, and HR/9 at 1.26. Both pitchers exhibit strong control and strikeout capabilities.
Fried’s performance against right-hand hitters, with a WHIP of 1.02 and HR/9 of 0.51, is notable, suggesting effectiveness in limiting base runners and home runs. Conversely, Musgrove’s stats at home, featuring a WHIP of 1.07 and HR/9 of 1.65, highlight his ability to manage hits and walks efficiently, though with a slightly higher susceptibility to home runs.
The Braves show promise against right-handed pitching, with Michael Harris II and Matt Olson demonstrating power and efficiency. Harris II brings a .344 wOBA and .182 ISO, while Olson contributes a .362 wOBA and a significant .256 ISO, indicating potential for impactful hits. Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna add depth, with Albies showing a .382 wOBA and .206 ISO, and Ozuna a .396 wOBA, making the Braves a formidable lineup against right-handers. These stats highlight potential vulnerabilities in Musgrove’s pitching, especially considering his 1.26 HR/9 rate and a WHIP of 1.17, suggesting the Braves could capitalize on any mistakes.
Against left-handed pitching, the Padres’ lineup, featuring Luis Arraez, Jurickson Profar, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Manny Machado, showcases a blend of contact and power. Tatis Jr. stands out with a .378 wOBA and .255 ISO, indicating a strong potential for extra-base hits. Profar and Machado both offer solid contributions, with Profar posting a .362 wOBA and Machado a .339 wOBA. Fried’s stats, including a WHIP of 1.16 and a modest HR/9 of 0.67, suggest he’s effective against hitters, but the Padres’ lineup has the tools to challenge him, especially with their strategic walks and power hitting.
Braves vs. Padres NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (+110)
