NRFI/YRFI Best Bets Thursday (9/19/24): Odds, Predictions, Stats, & Pitching Matchups

Written By Editorial Team on September 19, 2024
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NRFI YRFI Best Bets Sept 19

Get the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Tuesday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Red Sox-Rays, Yankees-Mariners, and Phillies-Brewers. Get updated odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday, Sept. 19

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io 

Red Sox vs Rays NRFI/YRFI

Zack Littell (R) (TB)StatBrayan Bello (R) (BOS)
18-9NRFI/YRFI Record19-9
20.5%K%20.9%
5%BB%8.8%
1.29WHIP1.38
1.31HR/91.12

For the MLB game between the Red Sox and Rays, the DraftKings sportsbook lists the odds favoring NRFI at -165, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds are set at -105, suggesting a slightly lower chance for a run in the first inning. Based on these odds, the implied probability for NRFI stands at approximately 62.3%, while YRFI has a probability of around 51.2%, showcasing the betting landscape for this MLB matchup.

Brayan Bello for the Red Sox shows a season WHIP of 1.38, K% at 20.9, BB% at 8.8, HR/9 at 1.12, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 19-9. Bello’s performance against right and left-hand hitters indicates a stronger WHIP of 1.20 and K% of 25.2 against righties. Zack Littell of the Rays counters with a WHIP of 1.29, K% at 20.5, BB% at 5, HR/9 at 1.31, and a NRFI/YRFI Record of 18-9. Littell has shown consistency in home games with a WHIP of 1.16 and K% of 21.9.

Considering the mlb betting odds, Bello’s stats suggest a slight edge in strikeout ability, particularly against right-handed hitters, but with a higher BB%. Littell’s lower WHIP and BB% could offer the Rays a slight advantage in controlling the game’s early innings, important for NRFI/YRFI betting strategies. Both pitchers have demonstrated the ability to manage home runs, a critical factor for bettors considering the NRFI/YRFI markets.

Jarren Duran, Rafael Devers, and Wilyer Abreu show strong performance against right-hand pitchers, with Duran leading with a .391 wOBA and Devers following closely with a .413 wOBA and a .319 ISO, indicating potential for high scoring. Tyler O’Neill provides a right-hand bat with a .209 ISO, adding depth against Littell’s pitching. These stats suggest a competitive edge for the Red Sox, important for MLB betting odds.

Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe stand out against right-hand pitchers, with Lowe showcasing a .329 wOBA and a .224 ISO. Josh Lowe adds value with a .177 ISO, indicating potential for extra-base hits. Despite higher strikeout rates, the Rays’ lineup presents a balanced attack against Bello’s pitching style, crucial for MLB betting insights.

Brayan Bello shows a balanced performance with a 20.9 K% and a 1.38 WHIP, indicating effectiveness against both right and left-hand hitters. Zack Littell, with a 20.5 K% and a 1.29 WHIP, demonstrates capability to manage hits and walks efficiently, impacting MLB odds favorably for bettors looking at NRFI/YRFI outcomes.

Red Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-165)

Yankees vs Mariners NRFI/YRFI

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Logan Gilbert (R) (SEA)StatClarke Schmidt (R) (NYY)
27-3NRFI/YRFI Record11-2
26%K%24.7%
4.5%BB%7.4%
0.89WHIP1.13
1.03HR/90.89

For the upcoming MLB game between the Yankees and Mariners, the odds from DraftKings suggest a leaning towards NRFI at -160, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds stand at -105, presenting a competitive chance for a run in the first inning. Calculations based on these odds show an implied probability of approximately 61.5% for NRFI and about 51.2% for YRFI, highlighting a close betting scenario for MLB fans and bettors.

Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees shows a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 11-2, with a WHIP of 1.13, K% of 24.7, BB% of 7.4, and HR/9 of 0.89. Logan Gilbert for the Mariners counters with a 27-3 NRFI/YRFI record, boasting a WHIP of 0.89, K% of 26, BB% of 4.5, and HR/9 of 1.03. Both pitchers have demonstrated strong control and the ability to limit home runs, crucial for NRFI/YRFI betting odds.

Examining home and away splits, Schmidt’s WHIP slightly improves on the road to 1.04, while Gilbert shines at home with a WHIP of 0.83. Against left and right-hand hitters, both pitchers maintain consistency, with Schmidt showing a slight edge in K% against lefties at 30.8 and Gilbert excelling with a lower WHIP of 0.81 against right-hand hitters. These stats are vital for MLB betting enthusiasts analyzing matchups for NRFI/YRFI odds.

The Yankees show promise against right-hand pitchers with Juan Soto and Aaron Judge leading the charge. Soto’s .426 wOBA and Judge’s .461 wOBA highlight their effectiveness, complemented by Soto’s impressive .292 ISO and Judge’s .348 ISO, indicating significant power potential. Gilbert’s 26% K rate and 1.03 HR/9 suggest vulnerabilities that the Yankees’ top hitters can exploit, making them key figures in betting considerations for this MLB matchup.

On the Mariners’ side, Victor Robles and Cal Raleigh stand out against right-hand pitching, with Robles’ .383 wOBA and Raleigh’s .335 wOBA signaling their ability to get on base and drive in runs. Raleigh’s .199 ISO also indicates power, which could challenge Schmidt, who has a 24.7% K rate and a 0.89 HR/9. Considering Schmidt’s performance against right and left-hand hitters, Mariners’ balanced attack might pose a threat, impacting MLB betting odds.

Yankees vs. Mariners NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-105)

Phillies vs Mets NRFI/YRFI

Luis Severino (R) (NYM)StatTaijuan Walker (R) (PHI)
27-2NRFI/YRFI Record7-7
19.9%K%15.2%
7.6%BB%8.6%
1.23WHIP1.63
1.10HR/92.29

For the upcoming MLB game between the Phillies and Mets, DraftKings has set the betting odds, indicating the probabilities for NRFI and YRFI. The odds suggest a close call between NRFI and YRFI outcomes. DraftKings lists the YRFI odds at -135, translating to a 57.45% implied probability. Conversely, the NRFI odds are at -125, indicating a 55.56% implied probability. These figures highlight the competitive nature of this match in the betting landscape.

Taijuan Walker for the Phillies presents a WHIP of 1.63, with a K% of 15.2 and BB% of 8.6. His HR/9 stands at 2.29, marking a NRFI/YRFI record of 7-7. Luis Severino of the Mets counters with a WHIP of 1.23, a K% of 19.9, and a BB% of 7.6, alongside a HR/9 of 1.10 and an impressive NRFI/YRFI record of 27-2. Both pitchers’ stats are crucial for MLB betting odds.

Walker’s performance against left and right batters shows a WHIP of 1.54 and 1.73 respectively, with HR/9 rates of 1.98 and 2.63. Severino showcases better control, with WHIPs of 1.32 and 1.14 against left and right-hand hitters and HR/9 of 1.55 and 0.63. These figures are essential for betting enthusiasts analyzing MLB odds, especially in NRFI/YRFI markets.

With Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper showcasing power against right-handed pitching, indicated by Schwarber’s .264 ISO and Harper’s .262 ISO, the Phillies present a significant threat. Their high wOBA, Schwarber at .347 and Harper at .379, against righties suggests potential for high-scoring opportunities. The Phillies’ lineup, facing Severino’s 1.23 WHIP and 1.10 HR/9, could exploit the Mets’ pitcher’s vulnerabilities, especially considering Severino’s K% of 19.9 against right- and left-hand hitters.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are key for the Mets against right-hand pitching, with Lindor’s .355 wOBA and Alonso’s .218 ISO indicating potential for impactful hits. Walker’s struggle is evident with a WHIP of 1.63 and a high HR/9 rate of 2.29, suggesting the Mets’ hitters might capitalize on his performance issues. Given Walker’s lower K% of 15.2, the Mets’ lineup could leverage their on-base abilities to generate scoring chances, aligning with MLB betting odds favoring high-scoring innings.

Phillies vs. Mets NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI (-125)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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