NRFI/YRFI Best Bets for Wednesday (9/11/24): Odds, Predictions, Pitching Matchups, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on September 11, 2024 - Last Updated on September 12, 2024
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NRFI YRFI Best Bets 9/11

Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from the Rays-Phillies, Royals-Yankees and Cubs vs Dodgers. Get updated odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.

NRFI/YRFI best bets for Wednesday, Sept. 11

MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io 

Rays vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI

Zack Wheeler (R) (PHI)StatShane Baz (R) (TB)
23-4NRFI/YRFI Record7-3
27%K%19.8%
6.5%BB%9.9%
0.96WHIP1.24
0.88HR/90.98

The MLB odds for tonight’s game between the Rays and Phillies show a leaning towards NRFI, with DraftKings listing the NRFI odds at -140 and YRFI odds at +100. This implies a higher probability for NRFI at approximately 58.3%, while YRFI stands at a lower probability of around 50%.

Shane Baz of the Rays shows a WHIP of 1.24, a K% of 19.8, and a BB% of 9.9 this season, with a HR/9 of 0.98 and a NRFI/YRFI record of 7-3. Baz’s performance indicates a moderate level of control and strikeout ability, important for MLB odds considerations in NRFI/YRFI markets.

Zack Wheeler from the Phillies presents a stronger front with a WHIP of 0.96, striking out 27% of batters faced, and a HR/9 of 0.88. His NRFI/YRFI record stands impressively at 23-4, showcasing his dominance on the mound and making him a critical factor in MLB odds for NRFI/YRFI betting.

The Rays show a balanced mix against right-handed pitching, with Brandon Lowe and Josh Lowe presenting a significant threat with their higher ISOs of .223 and .177, respectively. Yandy Díaz and Junior Caminero offer a steady presence at the plate, combining a moderate strikeout rate and solid on-base skills.

Phillies’ power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper stand out with impressive ISOs of .273 and .247, indicating their potential to capitalize on Baz’s 0.98 HR/9 rate. Despite Baz’s decent K% and WHIP, the Phillies’ lineup, featuring high wOBA figures from Schwarber (.350) and Harper (.374), could exploit Baz’s relative inexperience and higher BB%.

Rays vs Phillies NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (-140)

Royals vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI

Luis Gil (R) (NYY)StatCole Ragans (L) (KC)
21-4NRFI/YRFI Record23-6
27%K%28.7%
12.1%BB%8%
1.16WHIP1.15
0.83HR/90.75

For tonight’s game between the Royals and Yankees, the odds from DraftKings show a leaning towards NRFI at -130, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI stands at -105, suggesting a slightly lower chance for a run in the first inning.

Cole Ragans of the Royals showcases a solid season with a WHIP of 1.15, K% of 28.7, BB% of 8.0, and HR/9 of 0.75, alongside a NRFI/YRFI Record of 23-6. Luis Gil for the Yankees counters with a 1.16 WHIP, 27 K%, 12.1 BB%, and 0.83 HR/9, holding a NRFI/YRFI Record of 21-4. Both pitchers present strong MLB odds for NRFI/YRFI bets.

Tommy Pham and Salvador Perez showcase potential against right-hand pitchers, with Pham’s .318 wOBA and Perez’s .389 wOBA indicating strong on-base capabilities. Bobby Witt Jr.’s .385 wOBA and .218 ISO highlight his power and scoring potential, while Michael Massey’s .309 wOBA and .208 ISO suggest he can contribute significantly.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge stand out against left-hand pitchers, with Soto’s .431 wOBA and Judge’s .457 wOBA demonstrating exceptional on-base and power hitting. Giancarlo Stanton adds to the threat with a .349 wOBA and .289 ISO. Gleyber Torres, despite a lower .292 wOBA, contributes with his ability to get on base.

Royals vs Yankees NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-105)

Cubs vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI

Bobby Miller (R) (LAD)StatJordan Wicks (L) (CHC)
5-6NRFI/YRFI Record7-1
20.4%K%20.7%
10.6%BB%8%
1.65WHIP1.42
2.72HR/90.47

Betting odds for the upcoming MLB game between the Cubs and Dodgers show a slight preference towards a NRFI at -125. Conversely, the odds for a YRFI stand at -105, suggesting a slightly lower probability of runs in the first inning. Calculating these odds into probabilities gives us approximately 55.6% for NRFI and 51.2% for YRFI, highlighting a tight expectation of the game’s early performance.

Jordan Wicks for the Cubs brings a 1.42 WHIP, 20.7 K%, and 8 BB% to the mound, with a solid NRFI/YRFI record of 7-1. His HR/9 stands at a low 0.47, showcasing his ability to limit home runs. On the other side, Bobby Miller of the Dodgers counters with a 1.65 WHIP, 20.4 K%, and 10.6 BB%, but a higher HR/9 of 2.72 and a NRFI/YRFI record of 5-6, indicating a slightly higher risk for early runs.

Looking at venue performance, Wicks has a WHIP of 1.50 away, with a K% of 19.2 and BB% of 9.1, while Miller shows a stronger home performance with a 1.00 WHIP, 30 K%, and 7.8 BB%. Against left and right-handed hitters, Wicks and Miller both show variability in WHIP and HR/9.

The Cubs show promise with hitters like Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki, bringing solid performances against right-hand pitchers. Happ’s .213 ISO and Suzuki’s .146 ISO indicate potential for impactful hits. Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger add depth, with Busch showing a .331 wOBA and Bellinger a .308 wOBA against righties. Their strikeout rates, however, with Happ at 28.7% and Bellinger at 18%, suggest vulnerabilities that could be exploited.

Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman stand out against left-hand pitchers, with Ohtani’s impressive .449 wOBA and .390 ISO, and Freeman’s .395 wOBA and .221 ISO, signaling strong offensive capabilities. Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernández complement the lineup, offering a .400 and .330 wOBA respectively. Their ability to connect, combined with Betts’ lower strikeout rate of 15.4%, positions the Dodgers as a formidable force against lefties.

Cubs vs. Dodgers NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-105)

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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