Find the top NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday’s MLB games. Featuring bets from Phillies-Marlins, Braves-Rockies and Tigers-Padres. Get updated odds, pitching matchups, predictions, and more from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NRFI/YRFI best bets for Thursday, Sept. 5
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Phillies vs Marlins NRFI/YRFI
| Martín Pérez (L) (SD) | Stat | Casey Mize (R) (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 18-4 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 8-9 |
| 17.6% | K% | 16.1% |
| 8.1% | BB% | 5.7% |
| 1.53 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 1.57 | HR/9 | 0.85 |
For tonight’s game featuring the Phillies against the Marlins, DraftKings presents specific odds for NRFI and YRFI bets. The odds lean towards a NRFI at -125, indicating a higher probability, while YRFI stands at -105. These odds translate to a 55.56% chance for NRFI and a 51.22% chance for YRFI, highlighting the expected outcomes for the first inning based on MLB odds.
Ranger Suárez of the Phillies shows a solid season with a WHIP of 1.07, K% of 24.2, BB% of 5.5, and HR/9 of 0.77, alongside a NRFI/YRFI record of 16-6. Adam Oller from the Marlins counters with a WHIP of 1.04, K% of 23.5, BB% of 11.8, and HR/9 of 1.10, holding a NRFI/YRFI record of 3-0. Both pitchers have demonstrated capability in controlling the game’s early innings, crucial for MLB odds in NRFI/YRFI betting.
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring significant power against right-hand pitchers, with Schwarber showcasing a .406 wOBA and Harper a .386 wOBA, indicating strong on-base potential. Trea Turner and Alec Bohm add depth, Turner with a .400 wOBA and Bohm with a .364 wOBA against righties, suggesting the Phillies have a lineup that could exploit Oller’s weaknesses, especially considering Oller’s 1.10 HR/9 and WHIP of 1.04.
Xavier Edwards and Connor Norby look to challenge Suárez with Edwards’ .378 wOBA and Norby’s .346 wOBA against left-hand pitchers, indicating potential for base-reaching. Despite Suárez’s solid season stats, including a 1.07 WHIP and a 24.2 K%, the Marlins’ lineup, featuring Jake Burger’s .338 wOBA and Jonah Bride’s .332 wOBA, could find opportunities to capitalize on Suárez’s lower HR/9 of 0.77.
With one of the best lineups in MLB, the Phillies have the ability to score runs early and often. That’s seen in Philly’s YRFI percentage of 36%. Despite having a NRFI record of 3-0, Adam Oller is still unknown. While the Marlins will struggle to cross the plate in the first inning, the Phillies will do so in the top half of the inning.
Phillies vs Marlins NRFI/YRFI prediction: YRFI (-105)
Rockies vs Braves NRFI/YRFI
| Reynaldo López (R) (ATL) | Stat | Austin Gomber (L) (COL) |
|---|---|---|
| 20-2 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 14-12 |
| 24.4% | K% | 16.5% |
| 8.2% | BB% | 5.8% |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 0.59 | HR/9 | 1.69 |
The odds are set for NRFI and YRFI betting for the upcoming MLB game between the Rockies and Braves. DraftKings has listed the YRFI at -110, indicating a probability of 52.4%. Conversely, the NRFI stands at -125, translating to a higher probability of 55.6%.
Austin Gomber for the Rockies shows a season WHIP of 1.30, K% of 16.5, BB% of 5.8, and HR/9 at 1.69, with a NRFI/YRFI Record of 14-12. Reynaldo López of the Braves counters with a WHIP of 1.17, K% of 24.4, BB% of 8.2, and HR/9 at 0.59, boasting a NRFI/YRFI Record of 20-2. Both pitchers present strong cases for NRFI/YRFI betting, with López showing a significant edge in strikeouts and home run suppression.
Gomber’s performance against right-hand hitters reveals a WHIP of 1.38 and HR/9 of 1.65, indicating a vulnerability that could impact NRFI/YRFI odds. His season shows struggles with a 1.69 HR/9 and a WHIP of 1.30, indicating potential issues against power hitters. Meanwhile, López excels against right-hand hitters with a superior WHIP of 0.87 and HR/9 of 0.31. These stats suggest López’s ability to control games, making the Braves a favorable pick for NRFI/YRFI bettors.
For the Rockies, Charlie Blackmon and Ryan McMahon showcase potential against right-hand pitchers with a .324 and .332 wOBA, respectively, indicating a solid on-base ability. Ezequiel Tovar’s .201 ISO suggests power, but a high K% at 35.1 might be a concern. Brenton Doyle presents a balanced threat with a .314 wOBA and .162 ISO, potentially exploiting López’s vulnerabilities.
Marcell Ozuna stands out for the Braves with a .404 wOBA and .288 ISO against left-hand pitchers, indicating significant power and run-scoring potential. Whit Merrifield and Jorge Soler provide solid on-base capabilities with wOBAs of .292 and .310, respectively. Matt Olson, despite being a lefty, presents a power threat with a .190 ISO.
Rockies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI (-110)
Tigers vs Padres NRFI/YRFI
| Martín Pérez (L) (SD) | Stat | Casey Mize (R) (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 18-4 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 8-9 |
| 17.6% | K% | 16.1% |
| 8.1% | BB% | 5.7% |
| 1.53 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 1.57 | HR/9 | 0.85 |
The MLB odds for the Tigers vs Padres game show DraftKings favoring YRFI at -135, indicating a higher likelihood of a run in the first inning. Conversely, NRFI stands at +100, suggesting a lower probability. Based on these odds, YRFI has an implied probability of approximately 57.45%, while NRFI’s probability is close to 50%.
Casey Mize of the Tigers has a WHIP of 1.42, with a K% of 16.1 and a BB% of 5.7. Mize’s HR/9 stands at 0.85, contributing to an NRFI/YRFI record of 8-9. Martín Pérez of the Padres counters with a WHIP of 1.53, a K% of 17.6, and a BB% of 8.1. Pérez’s HR/9 is higher at 1.57, boasting an NRFI/YRFI record of 18-4, indicating strong MLB odds for NRFI bettors.
With Matt Vierling leading the charge against lefties, showcasing a .326 wOBA and .206 ISO, the Tigers have a solid chance to capitalize early. Andy Ibáñez struggles with a .188 wOBA and a high K% of 38 against similar throwhand pitchers, indicating potential early outs. Colt Keith and Riley Greene present a mixed threat with Keith’s .296 wOBA and Greene’s impressive .376 wOBA and .225 ISO.
Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. set the stage with Arraez’s low K% of 9.2 and Tatis Jr.’s .313 wOBA, indicating consistent contact and on-base potential. Jurickson Profar’s .392 wOBA and .213 ISO highlight his power and ability to drive in runs against right-hand pitchers. Jake Cronenworth, despite a lower .244 wOBA.
The odds for tonight’s game definitely suggest a run in the first inning; however, that won’t happen. Take the better value and the more likely outcome of neither team scoring a run in the first inning.
Tigers vs Padres NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (+100)
