There are 15 MLB games on tonight’s slate with a focus on Orioles-Blue Jays, Red Sox-Royals, and Astros-Rangers as our three targeted MLB best bets. Get the latest odds and MLB betting predictions for 8/6/24.
MLB Best Bets Today
MLB odds are subject to change. All data is pulled from Sportsdata.io
Orioles vs. Blue Jays
| Starters | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (BAL) Grayson Rodriguez (R) | 13-4 | 3.86 | 1.24 | 25.8 | 7.2 |
| (TOR) Chris Bassitt (R) | 8-10 | 4.02 | 1.45 | 20.8 | 8.7 |
The Blue Jays are currently at the bottom of the AL East division with a record of 51 wins and 61 losses. They have a batting average of .240, 102 home runs, and an ERA of 4.64. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been their most consistent performer, leading the team in batting average (.316), home runs (22), and RBIs (72). Rodriguez has shown the ability to miss bats and also has held lefties to a .275 wOBA, which Toronto’s lineup has just a collective .314 wOBA off right-handers this season.
The Baltimore Orioles are leading the AL East with a 67-46 record. They have won six of their last ten games. The offense continues to be one of the best in baseball, averaging 5.1 runs per game and hitting at a .256 clip as a team. Both arms are quality right-handers but the Orioles matchup well against Bassitt. Left-handed hitters have tagged Bassitt for a .361 wOBA and 50% hard-contact rate this season. Baltimore will likely send 6-7 lefties to the plate tonight to counter Bassitt.
The Orioles are favored with a money line of -142 on DraftKings, translating to a 58.68% probability of winning. There is some value in this line with the advantage leaning Baltimore’s way in many categories.
MLB Best Bet: Baltimore ML (-143)
Red Sox vs. Royals
Starters W-L ERA WHIP K% BB%
(BOS) Brayan Bello (R) 10-5 5.13 1.44 21.3 7.9
(KC) Seth Lugo (R) 13-5 2.57 1.02 21.0 5.5
The Royals are slight favorites over the Red Sox in tonight’s MLB matchup at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs. FanDuel Sportsbook currently offers the longest odds on the Red Sox, situating them with +116 odds of a win.
The Boston Red Sox have a record of 60-51 this season. They have won six of their last ten games and are on a two-game winning streak. Offensively, the Red Sox are averaging 5.0 runs per game. Top performers for the Red Sox include Rafael Devers, leading in batting average, home runs, and RBIs with .307, 25, and 75 respectively. Jarren Duran has been instrumental in scoring runs, logging 78, while David Hamilton leads in stolen bases with 28.
The Kansas City Royals hold a record of 63-51 this season. They have also won six of their last ten games but are coming off a loss. Offensively, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game. For the Royals, Bobby Witt Jr. stands out with his high .343 batting average and leading 94 runs scored. Salvador Perez leads with 20 home runs, while Maikel Garcia excels with 27 stolen bases.
Based on these odds, the implied probability for a Royals win is approximately 56.5%, while the Red Sox have a 47.6% chance of winning. Although the Royals have slightly more wins this season, Boston’s 9-5 Tuesday win over the Royals suggests that the Red Sox could cut that deficit once again tonight with their offensive firepower and Bello’s resurgence on the mound.
MLB Best Bet: Red Sox ML (+116)
Astros vs. Rangers
| Starters | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (HOU) Framber Valdez (L) | 10-5 | 3.56 | 1.25 | 22.2 | 7.8 |
| (TEX) Tyler Mahle (R) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The Houston Astros come into this game with a record of 57-55. Houston is 4-6 in its last ten games and is on a current three-game losing streak. Despite their recent struggles, the Astros have several strengths, including a solid batting average of .258 and a respectable 125 home runs this season. Jose Altuve has been a standout player for Houston, leading the team with a batting average of .301 and 62 runs this season. Yordan Alvarez leads the team in home runs with 20, and Yainer Diaz has contributed 59 RBIs.
The Texas Rangers, on the other hand, have a record of 54-59. Texas is 3-7 in its last ten games but is coming off a win over the Astros on Monday night, which could provide some momentum. Its batting average is .238, and it has hit 123 home runs this season. Marcus Semien has been a leader for the Rangers, with 56 RBIs and 72 runs this season. Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 23, and Leody Taveras has 12 stolen bases.
Both teams have struggled in their last 10 games coming into this series. However, since the Rangers won 4-3 on Monday night, that’s the play for tonight’s game. Plus, Texas is at home. If you’re looking for the best odds on the potential underdog, FanDuel Sportsbook has the Rangers at +110.
MLB Best Bet: Rangers +110
