Mets vs Nationals NRFI/YRFI Preview (7/1/24): Odds, Prediction & Pitcher Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 1, 2024
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The New York Mets are set to play against the Washington Nationals on Monday, July 1, at 6:45 p.m. ET. at Nationals Park. The game features pitchers with notable NRFI records: David Peterson (Mets) with a 5-0 NRFI record and MacKenzie Gore (Nationals) with a 14-2 NRFI record. NRFI and YRFI odds are available at DraftKings, with YRFI at -110 and NRFI at -125. Weather conditions predict a clear sky with a high of 79 degrees. This matchup provides insights into Mets NRFI, Nationals NRFI, and general NRFI and YRFI betting options.

Mets vs Nationals NRFI/YRFI odds for 7/1/24

For tonight’s MLB game between the Mets and Nationals, the odds from DraftKings Sportsbook show a slight preference towards NRFI at -125, indicating a higher probability for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI is listed at -110, suggesting a slightly lower chance for a run in the opening inning. Based on these MLB betting odds, the implied probability for NRFI stands at approximately 55.56%, while YRFI has a probability of around 52.38%.

  • DraftKingsNRFI -125
  • DraftKingsYRFI -110

Odds are subject to change for the Mets vs Nationals NRFI/YRFI odds.

Mets vs. Nationals NRFI/YRFI prediction

If you’re looking for an NRFI bet, this is your game. Both pitchers don’t allow runs in the first inning, and we can see that in the MLB odds. While the value isn’t ideal for David Peterson or MacKenzie Gore regarding NRFI, it’s still decent.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction: Bet the NRFI

Mets vs. Nationals pitching matchup for Monday

David Peterson of the Mets shows an NRFI record of 5-0 with a WHIP of 1.48 and HR/9 at 1.00. His K% stands at 16.1 and BB% at 10.5, indicating a solid control that could influence the Mets NRFI outcome. MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals presents a stronger NRFI record of 14-2, alongside a WHIP of 1.39 and HR/9 of 0.74. His strikeout rate at 25.3% and walk rate at 7.1% suggest a higher potential for early game success, contributing to the Nationals NRFI strategy.

Peterson’s performance against right-hand hitters shows a WHIP of 1.45 and HR/9 of 0.87, indicating a slight vulnerability. In contrast, Gore’s stats against right-hand hitters highlight a WHIP of 1.34 and HR/9 of 0.69, demonstrating stronger effectiveness. These metrics are essential for bettors considering NRFI/YRFI bets, as they reflect the pitchers’ ability to manage early innings against different hitter profiles.

MacKenzie Gore (L) (WSH)StatDavid Peterson (L) (NYM)
14-2NRFI/YRFI Record5-0
25.3%K%16.1%
7.1%BB%10.5%
1.39WHIP1.48
0.74HR/91.00

David Peterson Split Stats

HomeStatAway
16.9%K%15.1%
11.3%BB%9.4%
1.81WHIP1.10
1.26HR/90.71
vs LeftStatvs Right
20%K%15.4%
6.7%BB%12.1%
1.58WHIP1.45
1.42HR/90.87

MacKenzie Gore Split Stats

HomeStatAway
23.4%K%28.5%
7.3%BB%6.9%
1.51WHIP1.19
0.86HR/90.55
vs LeftStatvs Right
22.3%K%28%
9.3%BB%7%
1.60WHIP1.34
0.93HR/90.69

Mets vs. Nationals NRFI/YRFI record ahead of today’s game

  • Mets NRFI: 71.60%
  • Mets YRFI: 28.40%
  • Mets Opponent NRFI: 75.31%
  • Mets Opponent YRFI: 24.69%
  • Nationals NRFI: 85.54%
  • Nationals YRFI: 14.46%
  • Nationals Opponent NRFI: 79.52%
  • Nationals Opponent YRFI: 20.48%

Stats are pulled from Sportsdata

Mets Lineup vs. MacKenzie Gore (L)

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso show promise for the Mets NRFI, with Lindor’s .389 WOBA and Alonso’s .278 ISO against lefties highlighting potential early scoring. J.D. Martinez brings a significant threat with a .425 WOBA and .250 ISO, suggesting the Mets could challenge Gore’s 1.39 WHIP and .74 HR/9 rate. Despite Gore’s decent K% at 25.3, the Mets’ lineup, featuring right-hand and switch hitters, might exploit his vulnerabilities, especially considering their solid WOBA and ISO figures.

Nationals Lineup vs. David Peterson (L)

The Nationals NRFI looks to capitalize on Peterson’s 1.48 WHIP and 1.00 HR/9, with CJ Abrams leading with a .379 WOBA against left-hand pitching. Lane Thomas and Nick Senzel add depth with WOBAs of .400 and .338, respectively, and could exploit Peterson’s 10.5 BB%. Despite Peterson’s struggle with lefties, the Nationals’ lineup, including right-handed hitters with solid ISO and WOBA, poses a significant threat to the Mets’ NRFI/YRFI record.

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