The New York Mets play the Miami Marlins at 4:40 p.m. on Monday, July 22, at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. David Peterson (8-0 NRFI/YRFI record) takes the mound for the Mets. Yonny Chirinos (1-4 NRFI/YRFI record) pitches for the Marlins. The NRFI odds for this MLB game are -120 and the YRFI odds are -115. The weather forecast predicts moderate rain with a high temperature of 81°F. Get the latest MLB betting odds and stats for today’s Mets vs. Marlins game.
Mets vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI odds for July 22
For the MLB game between the Mets and Marlins, here are the NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) odds from DraftKings Massachusetts. The NRFI odds are at -120, giving it a 54.5% implied probability. The YRFI odds are at -115, which translates to a 53.5% implied probability.
- DraftKings: NRFI -120
- DraftKings: YRFI -115
NRFI/YRFI MLB odds are subject to change for the Mets vs. Marlins.
Mets vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI Prediction
The first inning between the Mets and Marlins could go either way tonight. According to Massachusetts sportsbooks, the likelihood of bettors seeing a run in the first inning almost as high as the likelihood of them not seeing a run. Based on past pitcher and team stats, it may be safe to expect more action later on in tonight’s game.
Mets vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI
Mets vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup for Monday
David Peterson has a WHIP of 1.42, K% of 16.3, BB% of 9.7, and HR/9 of 0.82. He has an NRFI/YRFI record of 8-0. Yonny Chirinos has a WHIP of 1.72, K% of 17.1, BB% of 7.3, and HR/9 of 1.80. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 1-4. Peterson’s lower WHIP and HR/9 indicate fewer baserunners and home runs allowed compared to Chirinos.
Peterson’s away stats show a WHIP of 1.24, K% of 15.2, BB% of 8.1, and HR/9 of 0.77. Against left-handed hitters, he has a WHIP of 1.46, K% of 21.2, BB% of 7.7, and HR/9 of 1.54. Against right-handed hitters, he has a WHIP of 1.41, K% of 15.1, BB% of 10.8, and HR/9 of 0.56. Chirinos’ home stats show a WHIP of 1.50, K% of 22.9, BB% of 2.1, and HR/9 of 0.90. Against left-handed hitters, he has a WHIP of 1.83, K% of 12.7, BB% of 7.3, and HR/9 of 1.50. Against right-handed hitters, he has a WHIP of 1.61, K% of 22.6, BB% of 8.1, and HR/9 of 2.08.
| Yonny Chirinos (R) (MIA) | Stat | David Peterson (L) (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 8-0 |
| 17.1% | K% | 16.3% |
| 7.3% | BB% | 9.7% |
| 1.72 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | HR/9 | 0.82 |
David Peterson Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | K% | 24% |
| 8.4% | BB% | 8.5% |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.65 |
| 0.85 | HR/9 | 1.85 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | K% | 15.1% |
| 7.7% | BB% | 10.8% |
| 1.46 | WHIP | 1.41 |
| 1.54 | HR/9 | 0.56 |
Yonny Chirinos Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.9% | K% | 13.3% |
| 2.1% | BB% | 10.7% |
| 1.50 | WHIP | 1.87 |
| 0.90 | HR/9 | 2.40 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | K% | 22.6% |
| 7.3% | BB% | 8.1% |
| 1.83 | WHIP | 1.61 |
| 1.50 | HR/9 | 2.08 |
Mets vs. Marlins NRFI/YRFI Record
- Mets NRFI: 75.51%
- Mets YRFI: 24.49%
- Mets Opponent NRFI: 78.57%
- Mets Opponent YRFI: 21.43%
- Marlins NRFI: 77.78%
- Marlins YRFI: 22.22%
- Marlins Opponent NRFI: 66.67%
- Marlins Opponent YRFI: 33.33%
All stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io
Mets Lineup vs. Yonny Chirinos (L)
Francisco Lindor’s .382 wOBA and .264 ISO are strong indicators of his power against left-handed pitching. Brandon Nimmo has a .364 wOBA, though his 26.3% K% could be a concern. J.D. Martinez boasts a .408 wOBA and .232 ISO, making him a key player. Pete Alonso’s .360 wOBA and .260 ISO also show his potential to score early. Mets hitters have shown effective performance against left-hand pitchers this season.
Yonny Chirinos has a 1.72 WHIP and a 1.80 HR/9, indicating struggles against hitters. His 17.1% K% and 7.3% BB% suggest he allows frequent contact. Chirinos has allowed a .360 wOBA to right-handers, making Mets’ right-handed hitters a threat. His season stats show vulnerability against power hitters, impacting MLB betting odds.
Marlins Lineup vs. David Peterson (L)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s .317 wOBA and .183 ISO show moderate power, but a 28.5% K% is concerning. Bryan De La Cruz has a .288 wOBA and .167 ISO, with a high 29.1% K%. Jake Burger’s .305 wOBA and .176 ISO indicate potential, but his 31.2% K% is a risk. Josh Bell’s .282 wOBA and .110 ISO are less threatening. Marlins hitters have struggled against left-hand pitchers this season.
David Peterson has a 1.42 WHIP and a 0.82 HR/9, showing better control. His 16.3% K% and 9.7% BB% suggest moderate strikeout ability. Peterson has allowed fewer home runs, making it difficult for Marlins’ hitters to capitalize. His stats show effectiveness against both right and left-hand hitters, influencing MLB betting odds.
