Mariners vs. Red Sox MLB Game Preview (7/30/24): NRFI/YRFI Odds, Prediction, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 30, 2024
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Red Sox vs Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners face the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday, July 30, at 5:10 p.m. (17:10) at Fenway Park, Boston, MA. Luis Castillo, with a NRFI record of 15-7, represents the Mariners, while James Paxton’s NRFI record for the Red Sox is currently unavailable. NRFI/YRFI betting odds are set at DraftKings with YRFI at -130 and NRFI at -105. The forecast predicts broken clouds with a high of 92°F. This game offers MLB betting enthusiasts a clear insight into Massachusetts sportsbook odds and pitcher performance relevant to NRFI/YRFI bets.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI odds for July 30

For the upcoming MLB game between the Mariners and Red Sox, DraftKings Sportsbook has set the odds, indicating a closer look into the betting trends. The NRFI odds are marked at -105, translating to a 51.2% implied probability of no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds are at -130, showing a 56.5% chance of seeing a run in the first inning. These odds are crucial for bettors focusing on the early game dynamics.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -105
  • DraftKings: YRFI -130

Mariners vs Red Sox MLB odds are subject to change.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction for 7/30

The Mariners and Red Sox have both traditionally kept a run from being scored in the first inning this season, and tonight should be no exception. While James Paxton’s stats are limited for Boston, Luis Castillo throws twice as many no-run first innings as he does yes-runs, leaving odds for a no-run first inning looking quite nice this evening.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI

Mariners vs. Red Sox Pitching Matchup Tonight

James Paxton (L) (BOS)StatLogan Gilbert (R) (SEA)
NANRFI/YRFI Record15-7
NA%K%23.2%
NA%BB%6.8%
NAWHIP1.16
NAHR/91.04

Luis Castillo for the Mariners shows a solid season with a WHIP of 1.16, K% of 23.2, BB% of 6.8, and HR/9 at 1.04, alongside a NRFI/YRFI Record of 15-7. These stats are crucial for mlb betting enthusiasts analyzing NRFI/YRFI odds. Castillo’s performance against right-hand hitters is notable with a WHIP of 0.92, K% of 29.2, and HR/9 of 0.61, indicating a stronger advantage in such matchups.

James Paxton’s details for the Red Sox are incomplete for the season, but his performance against left-hand hitters provides a glimpse with a WHIP of 1.10, K% of 15.2, BB% of 4.5, and HR/9 of 0.52. This could influence MLB betting odds, especially in NRFI/YRFI markets, considering Paxton’s effectiveness in specific matchups. However, his overall performance against right-hand hitters suggests a challenge with a WHIP of 1.54 and a higher BB% of 13.9.

Luis Castillo Split Stats

HomeStatAway
25.4%K%20.5%
4.7%BB%9.4%
1.05WHIP1.30
0.86HR/91.04
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
18.7%K%24.7%
8.7%BB%7.6%
1.49WHIP1.39
1.84HR/91.05

James Paxton Split Stats

HomeStatAway
13.8%K%17.6%
13.8%BB%10.7%
1.34WHIP1.54
1.40HR/90.89
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
15.2%K%16.7%
4.5%BB%13.9%
1.10WHIP1.54
0.52HR/91.25

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Mariners NRFI: 73.15%
  • Mariners YRFI: 26.85%
  • Mariners Opponent NRFI: 82.41%
  • Mariners Opponent YRFI: 17.59%
  • Red Sox NRFI: 68.57%
  • Red Sox YRFI: 31.43%
  • Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 73.33%
  • Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 26.67%

Projected lineups and injuries are Sportsdata.io

Mariners Lineup vs. Right-Hand Pitcher

With Victor Robles and Dylan Moore leading off, the Mariners showcase a mix of speed and power against right-hand pitching, indicated by Robles’s .389 wOBA and Moore’s .193 ISO. Randy Arozarena and Jorge Polanco add depth, despite high strikeout rates, their ability to get on base and contribute with a .292 and .291 wOBA respectively, could be crucial. This lineup’s blend of contact and power, with specific highlights on Robles’s and Moore’s stats, presents a challenging matchup for right-hand pitchers, potentially affecting mlb betting odds.

Red Sox Lineup vs. Right-Hand Pitcher

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers stand out against right-hand pitching with Duran’s speed and Devers’s power, reflected in a .306 wOBA and .150 ISO respectively. Tyler O’Neill’s exceptional .454 wOBA and .360 ISO suggest significant impact potential, making him a key player to watch. Despite David Hamilton’s struggles, as shown by a .220 wOBA, the lineup’s overall performance against righties, especially O’Neill’s standout stats, could influence MLB betting insights. Boston’s 14-7 win against the Mariners should give bettors even more confidence.

Pitchers’ Season Stats Overview

Luis Castillo’s season stats reveal a solid performance with a 23.2 K% and a 1.16 WHIP, showcasing his ability to manage hitters effectively. His 1.04 HR/9 rate suggests he’s been relatively good at limiting home runs, a crucial factor for bettors considering NRFI/YRFI odds in MLB matchups.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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