Mariners vs. Red Sox MLB Game Preview (7/29/24): NRFI/YRFI Odds, Prediction, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 29, 2024
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Red Sox vs Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners face the Boston Red Sox on Monday, July 29, at 7:10 p.m. at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The game features pitchers Logan Gilbert (19-2 NRFI record) for the Mariners and Nick Pivetta (11-5 NRFI record) for the Red Sox. NRFI betting odds are set at -130, with YRFI odds at -105 at most Massachusetts sportsbooks. The forecast predicts moderate rain with a high of 64°F. This information is crucial for MLB betting, focusing on NRFI/YRFI odds.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI odds for July 29

For the upcoming MLB game between the Mariners and Red Sox, the betting odds indicate a preference for NRFI at -130, according to DraftKings Massachusetts, translating to a probability of approximately 56.5%. Conversely, YRFI stands at -105, equating to a roughly 51.2% chance. These figures suggest a slight tilt towards no run being scored in the first inning.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -130
  • DraftKings: YRFI -105

Mariners vs Red Sox MLB odds are subject to change.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Pitchers haven’t seen much luck with first-inning runs this season on either side of the field for this matchup, with Logan Gilbert logging no-run first innings for 19 of his 21 games this season. Nick Pivetta has a similar history on the side of the Red Sox, allowing runs in the first innings of only 5 out of 16 games.

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI

Mariners vs. Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Logan Gilbert of the Mariners has a strong NRFI record of 19-2, with a WHIP of 0.86, K% of 24.4, BB% of 4.8, and HR/9 of 0.97. Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox counters with an NRFI record of 11-5, WHIP at 1.18, K% at 28.7, BB% at 5.9, and HR/9 at 1.61. Both pitchers demonstrate capabilities crucial for MLB betting odds.

Gilbert’s stats against right- and left-hand hitters indicate a balanced performance, with WHIPs of 0.85 and 0.88, respectively. Pivetta’s performance, however, shows a stronger stance against left-hand hitters, with a WHIP of 1.03 compared to 1.31 against right-hand hitters. For MLB betting, Gilbert’s consistently low WHIP and Pivetta’s higher K% are key factors.

In summary, Gilbert’s lower WHIP and HR/9, alongside a strong NRFI record, suggest a reliable option for NRFI bets in the upcoming Mariners vs. Red Sox game. Pivetta’s higher strikeout rate may appeal to YRFI bettors, making this matchup a pivotal point for MLB odds.

James Paxton (L) (BOS)StatLogan Gilbert (R) (SEA)
NANRFI/YRFI Record15-7
NA%K%23.2%
NA%BB%6.8%
NAWHIP1.16
NAHR/91.04

Logan Gilbert Split Stats

HomeStatAway
26.6%K%22.3%
4.2%BB%5.3%
0.86WHIP0.87
0.96HR/90.98
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
26.2%K%24.1%
5.1%BB%4.8%
0.88WHIP0.85
0.72HR/91.17

Nick Pivetta Split Stats

HomeStatAway
29.6%K%27.9%
8.8%BB%3.6%
1.33WHIP1.06
1.00HR/92.06
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
31%K%28.1%
7.7%BB%4.7%
1.03WHIP1.31
1.15HR/92.00

Mariners vs. Red Sox NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Mariners NRFI: 72.90%
  • Mariners YRFI: 27.10%
  • Mariners Opponent NRFI: 82.24%
  • Mariners Opponent YRFI: 17.76%
  • Red Sox NRFI: 68.27%
  • Red Sox YRFI: 31.73%
  • Red Sox Opponent NRFI: 73.08%
  • Red Sox Opponent YRFI: 26.92%

Projected lineups and injuries are Sportsdata.io

Mariners Lineup vs. Nick Pivetta (R)

Josh Rojas and Victor Robles show promise, with Rojas bringing a .318 wOBA and Robles a .388 wOBA against right-hand pitchers, indicating potential scoring opportunities for the Mariners. Arozarena and Garver, with ISOs of .147 and .148 respectively, could exploit Pivetta’s 1.61 HR/9 rate, hinting at potential home runs in this matchup. Pivetta’s 28.7 K% and 1.18 WHIP against similar batters this season suggest he might find some success, but the Mariners’ lineup poses a significant challenge.

Red Sox Lineup vs. Logan Gilbert (R)

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers stand out with Duran’s .392 wOBA and Devers’ impressive .463 wOBA and .379 ISO against right-hand pitchers, indicating strong on-base and power-hitting capabilities for the Red Sox. Gilbert’s solid 0.86 WHIP and low 0.97 HR/9 rate will be tested against this lineup. His 24.4 K% shows he can handle pressure, but the Red Sox’s power hitters might still find gaps in his game.

For MLB betting enthusiasts, analyzing these matchups provides insights into potential game outcomes and odds, essential for making informed betting decisions.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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