Guardians vs Tigers MLB Preview (7/8/24): NRFI/YRFI Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 8, 2024 - Last Updated on July 9, 2024
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The Cleveland Guardians are set to play the Detroit Tigers at 6:40 p.m. ET today at Comerica Park in Detroit. The weather forecast predicts broken clouds with a high of 89 degrees. Gavin Williams, with an NRFI record of 0-1, will be pitching for the Guardians against Keider Montero of the Tigers, who holds an NRFi record of 2-0. NRFI odds for this upcoming MLB game are set at -115, while YRFI odds are at -120, according to DraftKings. This game presents notable NRFI and YRFI betting opportunities based on the pitchers’ records and the expected game conditions.

Guardians vs Tigers NRFI/YRFI odds for 7/8/24

The game between the Guardians and Tigers presents close NRFI and YRFI odds. DraftKings Sportsbook MA lists the YRFI odds at -120, indicating slightly higher confidence in a run being scored in the first inning. Conversely, the NRFI odds are set at -115, showing a nearly equal confidence level in no runs being scored early. The implied probabilities calculated from these odds give YRFI a 54.5% chance and NRFI a 53.5% chance of occurring.

  • DraftKings: YRFI -120
  • DraftKings: NRFI -115

MLB odds are subject to change for the Guardians vs Tigers NRFI/YRFI odds.

Guardians vs. Tigers NRFI/YRFI Prediction for July 8

The best opportunity for a run to be scored in tonight’s game will come from the Guardians. However, when you look at the season stats for Cleveland, that’s a bit of a risk. The Guardians have a season NRFI record of 70.45%. Even the Tigers have a NRFI season stat of 70%. Based on those stats and the odds from DraftKings, take the slightly better value of the NRFI tonight.

Guardians vs Tigers NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI

Gavin Williams vs Keider Montero pitching matchup for Monday

Gavin Williams of the Guardians shows a WHIP of 2.25, with a K% of 9.5 and BB% of 9.5, not favoring NRFI odds. His HR/9 stands at 0.00, indicating potential for NRFI, despite a NRFI/YRFI Record of 0-1. Keider Montero of the Tigers presents a more favorable NRFI profile with a WHIP of 1.40, K% of 21.7, BB% of 7.2, and HR/9 of 2.40, alongside a positive NRFI/YRFI Record of 2-0, supporting stronger YRFI odds.

Williams’ performance against right-hand hitters shows a WHIP of 2.25, K% of 14.3, and BB% of 7.1, suggesting vulnerabilities that could impact NRFI odds. Montero’s stats, particularly against lefties, with a WHIP of 1.11, K% of 27, and HR/9 of 1.00, indicate a stronger stance for NRFI odds, reflecting his ability to control games early against hitters from both sides.

Kider Montero (R) (DET)StatGavin Williams (R) (CLE)
2-0NRFI/YRFI Record0-1
21.7%K%9.5%
7.2%BB%9.5%
1.40WHIP2.25
2.40HR/90.00

Gavin Williams Split Stats

HomeStatAway
9.5%K%0%
9.5%BB%0%
2.25WHIP0.00
0.00HR/90.00
vs LeftStatvs Right
0%K%14.3%
14.3%BB%7.1%
2.25WHIP2.25
0.00HR/90.00

Keider Montero Split Stats

Home StatAway
26.2%K%14.8%
9.5%BB%3.7%
1.61WHIP1.10
3.12HR/91.42
vs LeftStatvs Right
27%K%17.2%
5.4%BB%10.3%
1.11WHIP1.83
1.00HR/94.50

Guardians vs. Tigers NRFI/YRFI Record

Cleveland Guardians season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Guardians NRFI: 70.45%
  • Guardians YRFI: 29.55%
  • Guardians Opponent NRFI: 70.45%
  • Guardians Opponent YRFI: 29.55%

Detroit Tigers season NRFI/YRFI record ahead of tonight’s game

  • Tigers NRFI: 70.00%
  • Tigers YRFI: 30.00%
  • Tigers Opponent NRFI: 72.22%
  • Tigers Opponent YRFI: 27.78%

All stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Guardians Lineup vs. Keider Montero (R)

Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor showcase strong performance against right-hand pitchers with Kwan’s .411 wOBA and Naylor’s .269 ISO indicating potential for early runs. José Ramírez adds to the threat with a .239 ISO. Montero’s 21.7% K% and 1.40 WHIP against righties suggest he might face challenges, enhancing YRFI odds for bettors.

Tigers Lineup vs. Gavin Williams (R)

Riley Greene stands out with a .397 wOBA and .248 ISO against right-hand pitching, suggesting he could capitalize on Williams’ high WHIP of 2.25. Matt Vierling and Mark Canha, despite higher K%, have the power to impact with Vierling’s .222 ISO. Williams’ struggles, indicated by a 9.5% K% and 9.5% BB%, could tilt NRFI odds in favor of early scoring.

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