Cubs vs. Orioles MLB Preview (7/10/24): NRFI/YRFI Odds, Predictions, & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 10, 2024
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Cubs vs Orioles

The Chicago Cubs are set to play the Baltimore Orioles at 6:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 10, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Sportsbooks offer no run first inning (NRFI) and yes run first inning (YRFI) odds are currently set at DraftKings with YRFI at -105 and NRFI at -130. The game features a pitching matchup between Shota Imanaga (14-2 NRFI) and Corbin Burnes (13-5 NRFI). The forecast predicts light rain with a high of 90 degrees.

Cubs vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI odds 7/10/24

DraftKings sportsbook MA indicates a preference towards no run in the first inning, putting slightly more juice on tonight’s NRFI odds. Based on these odds, the NRFI probability is calculated at 56.5%, while the YRFI probability is at 51.2%.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -105
  • DraftKings NRFI: -130

Odds are subject to change for Cubs vs. Orioles

Cubs vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction Today

The combination of Corbin Burnes’ first-inning production and the Cubs’ below-average starting offense suggests that the Orioles would be the more likely team to score a run in the first inning. Though Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have both flashed greatness at times, this spot does not set up particularly well for them. Shota Imanaga has been dominant to start games this season, and the weather isn’t expected to provide much forgiveness for hitters.

Cubs vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI

Cubs vs Orioles Pitching Matchup

Shota Imanaga of the Cubs showcases a solid WHIP of 1.11, a 24.3 K%, and a manageable HR/9 of 1.19, alongside an impressive NRFI/YRFI record of 14-2. Corbin Burnes for the Orioles counters with a WHIP of 1.02, a K% of 22, and a lower HR/9 of 0.96, recording a NRFI/YRFI mark of 13-5. Both pitchers demonstrate strong control and the ability to limit home runs, crucial for NRFI/YRFI betting.

Imanaga’s performance against right-hand hitters, with a WHIP of 1.13 and a K% of 24.3, suggests effectiveness in diverse matchups, while Burnes excels in home settings, boasting a WHIP of 1.12 and a K% of 22.9. Their abilities to maintain low walk rates and minimize home runs against both left and right-hand hitters underline their potential impact in the upcoming Cubs vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI scenario.

Corbin Burnes (R) (BAL)StatShota Imanaga (L) (CHC)
13-5NRFI/YRFI Record14-2
22%K%24.30%
5.20%BB%4%
1.02WHIP1.11
0.96HR/91.19

Shota Imanaga Split Stats

HomeStatAway
26.80%K%21.40%
2%BB%6.40%
1.03WHIP1.21
1.43HR/90.89
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
22.2%K%15.1%
4.4%BB%8.2%
0.87WHIP1.39
0.39HR/91.50

Corbin Burnes Split Stats

HomeStatAway
22.90%K%20.90%
5.30%BB%5.20%
1.12WHIP0.9
0.74HR/91.21
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
25.70%K%24.30%
2.70%BB%4.30%
1.02WHIP1.13
0.96HR/91.24

Cubs vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Cubs NRFI: 77.17%
  • Cubs YRFI: 22.83%
  • Cubs Opponent NRFI: 81.52%
  • Cubs Opponent YRFI: 18.48%
  • Orioles NRFI: 74.73%
  • Orioles YRFI: 25.27%
  • Orioles Opponent NRFI: 74.73%
  • Orioles Opponent YRFI: 25.27%

Cubs Lineup vs. Corbin Burnes (L)

With Nico Hoerner leading the Cubs lineup — showcasing a .294 wOBA and a modest .050 ISO against left-hand pitching — the Cubs show potential for contact but limited power. Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger bring a blend of higher strikeout rates, sitting at 24.3% and 18.1%, respectively, but also promise with Busch’s .400 wOBA and Bellinger’s .340 wOBA, indicating potential challenges for Burnes. Seiya Suzuki adds depth with a .340 wOBA and a .161 ISO, suggesting the Cubs could exploit Burnes’ 1.02 WHIP and .96 HR/9. Orioles vs Cubs NRFI/YRFI bettors should note Burnes’ performance against left-hand hitters.

Orioles Lineup vs. Shota Imanaga (L)

Jordan Westburg and Gunnar Henderson stand out in the Orioles lineup with significant power, indicated by .231 and .339 ISOs, against left-hand pitching, posing a threat to Imanaga’s 1.11 WHIP and 1.19 HR/9. Ryan Mountcastle and Adley Rutschman add to the lineup’s depth with .317 and .293 wOBAs, respectively. With Imanaga’s 24.3% strikeout rate, the Orioles’ higher K% from key hitters like Henderson and Westburg could be pivotal. Orioles vs Cubs NRFI/YRFI enthusiasts should watch for Imanaga’s approach to left-handed hitters.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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