Cardinals vs. Pirates MLB Preview (7/22/24): NRFI/YRFI Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 22, 2024 - Last Updated on July 24, 2024
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Cardinals vs Pirates MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:40 p.m. ET on Monday, July 22, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA. Andre Pallante (7-1 NRFI/YRFI record) will pitch for the Cardinals, while Mitch Keller (15-4 NRFI/YRFI record) will take the mound for the Pirates. The NRFI odds for this game are -135, and the YRFI odds are +100 on DraftKings. The weather forecast predicts broken clouds with a high of 81 degrees. Check the latest odds, predictions, and stats for today’s Cardinals vs. Pirates NRFI/YRFI.

Cardinals vs Pirate NRFI/YRFI Odds Today (7/22/24)

The Cardinals vs Pirates NRFI/YRFI odds are available for the upcoming MLB game. DraftKings Massachusetts has set the NRFI odds at -135 and the YRFI odds at +100. These MLB odds imply a higher probability for NRFI at 57.4% and a lower probability for YRFI at 50%.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -135
  • DraftKings: YRFI +100

Cardinals vs. Pirates NRFI odds are subject to change.

Cardinals vs. Pirates NRFI/YRFI Prediction Today

Heading into this matchup, both Keller and Pallante have had relative success going against the Cardinals and Pirates starting lineups, respectively. This — combined with the fact that each pitcher has been consistently above average to start games — spells positive value on an NRFI wager. There is some slight juice on the prop (bettors need to wager $135 to win $100), though this juice implies only a 57.4% chance of an NRFI. Given season-long records, there is still value in this prop despite the juice.

Cardinals vs Pirates NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI

Andre Pallante vs Mitcher Keller Pitching Matchup for Monday

Mitch Keller (R) (PIT)StatAndre Pallante (R) (STL)
15-4NRFI/YRFI Record7-1
20.80%K%17.70%
5.90%BB%8.20%
1.25WHIP1.38
0.94HR/90.88

Andre Pallante has a WHIP of 1.38 and a K% of 17.7%, with a BB% of 8.2% and HR/9 of 0.88. Pallante’s NRFI/YRFI record stands at 7-1. Mitch Keller features a WHIP of 1.25, a K% of 20.8%, a BB% of 5.9%, and HR/9 of 0.94. Keller’s NRFI/YRFI record is 15-4.

When pitching away, Pallante’s WHIP is 1.30 with a K% of 17.7% and HR/9 of 1.07. Against left-handed hitters, Pallante’s WHIP is 0.98, K% is 21.4%, and HR/9 is 0.33. Against right-handed hitters, Pallante’s WHIP is 1.86, K% is 16.5%, and HR/9 is 1.52. Keller’s home WHIP is 1.12 with a K% of 22.4% and HR/9 of 0.92. Against left-handed hitters, Keller’s WHIP is 1.18, K% is 27.1%, and HR/9 is 1.26. Against right-handed hitters, Keller’s WHIP is 1.33, K% is 15.9%, and HR/9 is 0.63.

Andre Pallante Split Stats

HomeStatAway
17.80%K%17.70%
8.50%BB%8%
1.46WHIP1.3
0.69HR/91.07
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
21.40%K%16.50%
7.80%BB%9.60%
0.98WHIP1.86
0.33HR/91.52

Mitch Keller Split Stats

HomeStatAway
22.40%K%19.20%
5.70%BB%6.10%
1.12WHIP1.38
0.92HR/90.97
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
27.10%K%15.90%
5%BB%7.20%
1.18WHIP1.33
1.26HR/90.63

Cardinals vs. Pirates NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Cardinals NRFI: 78.79%
  • Cardinals YRFI: 21.21%
  • Cardinals Opponent NRFI: 72.73%
  • Cardinals Opponent YRFI: 27.27%
  • Pirates NRFI: 79.80%
  • Pirates YRFI: 20.20%
  • Pirates Opponent NRFI: 78.79%
  • Pirates Opponent YRFI: 21.21%

All stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Cardinals Lineup vs. Mitch Keller (R)

Masyn Winn, Alec Burleson, Willson Contreras, and Paul Goldschmidt lead the Cardinals lineup against right-hand pitchers. Burleson shows a .393 wOBA and .235 ISO, while Contreras has a .394 wOBA and .226 ISO. Goldschmidt has struggled with a 33.8 K% and .272 wOBA. Winn has a .336 wOBA and .105 ISO, making the top four a mix of power and strikeouts.

Pirates Lineup vs. Andre Pallante (R)

Andrew McCutchen, Bryan Reynolds, Oneil Cruz, and Rowdy Tellez face a righty, with Reynolds registering a .382 wOBA and .222 ISO, while Cruz shows a .362 wOBA and .220 ISO but a high 35 K%. McCutchen, meanwhile, has a .327 wOBA and .165 ISO. Tellez has a .304 wOBA and .147 ISO, making the Pirates lineup a threat against right-handers.

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