The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play the Atlanta Braves at 9:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, July 9 at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The pitching matchup for this game features the Braves’ Chris Sale going up against the Diamondbacks’ Zac Gallen. DraftKings offers no run first inning (NRFI) odds at -150 and yes run first inning (YRFI) odds at +110. Chris Sale from the Braves brings a NRFI/YRFI record of 9-7, while Zac Gallen from the Diamondbacks has a record of 10-3. The weather forecast predicts a clear sky with a high of 110 degrees.
NRFI/YRFI odds for Braves vs. Diamondbacks 7/9/24
Given current NRFI/YRFI odds from DraftKings, Massachusetts sportsbooks generally expect that a NRFI is more likely to occur in Braves vs Diamondbacks than a YRFI. The implied probability for NRFI stands at 60%, while the implied probability for a YRFI sits at 47.6%. Individuals betting on a NRFI in this game would need to wager $150 to win $100.
- DraftKings YRFI Odds: +110
- DraftKings NRFI Odds: -150
Odds are subject to change for Braves vs. Diamondbacks
Braves vs. Diamondbacks NRFI/YRFI Prediction
Though there is some juice on the NRFI odds, both advanced metrics and general metrics point to this being the right bet. Though many consider Sale to be the better pitcher, Gallen has been hyper-productive in the first inning this season as evidenced by his 10-3 NRFI record. Sale, meanwhile, has been at his best this season when going against right-handed hitters — something the Diamondbacks will provide so long as he gets past Corbin Carroll.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup
Chris Sale for the Braves shows a strong NRFI/YRFI record of 9-7, with a WHIP of 0.91 and a K% of 31.8. Sale’s control is highlighted by a low BB% of 4.8 and a HR/9 of 0.63, making him a solid pick for NRFI bets. Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks counters with a 10-3 NRFI/YRFI record, a WHIP of 1.11, and a K% of 25.6. Gallen’s ability to limit home runs (HR/9 of 0.80) and maintain a decent BB% of 6.9 adds depth to the Diamondbacks’ NRFI/YRFI prospects.
Looking at venue and batter matchups, Sale performs exceptionally away with a WHIP of 0.97 and dominates against right-handed hitters with a WHIP of 0.95. Gallen, on the other hand, showcases strength at home with a WHIP of 0.95 and against righties, where his WHIP slightly increases to 1.13. Both pitchers’ effectiveness against different types of hitters and at various venues positions this Diamondbacks vs Braves game as a keen NRFI/YRFI betting interest.
| Zac Gallen (R) (ARI) | Stat | Chris Sale (L) (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | NRFI/YRFI Record | 9-7 |
| 25.60% | K% | 31.80% |
| 6.90% | BB% | 4.80% |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 0.91 |
| 0.8 | HR/9 | 0.63 |
Chris Sale Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.50% | K% | 34.90% |
| 3.50% | BB% | 6.40% |
| 0.87 | WHIP | 0.97 |
| 0.64 | HR/9 | 0.62 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 32.30% | K% | 32.80% |
| 3.10% | BB% | 5.30% |
| 0.74 | WHIP | 0.95 |
| 1.02 | HR/9 | 0.55 |
Zac Gallen Split Stats
| Home | Stat | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.30% | K% | 23.90% |
| 6.50% | BB% | 7.20% |
| 0.95 | WHIP | 1.29 |
| 0.25 | HR/9 | 1.45 |
| vs. Left | Stat | vs. Right |
|---|---|---|
| 24% | K% | 28.10% |
| 8% | BB% | 6.20% |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 1.15 | HR/9 | 0.5 |
Braves vs. Diamondbacks NRFI/YRFI Record
- Braves NRFI: 69.66%
- Braves YRFI: 30.34%
- Braves Opponent NRFI: 75.28%
- Braves Opponent YRFI: 24.72%
- Diamondbacks NRFI: 63.74%
- Diamondbacks YRFI: 36.26%
- Diamondbacks Opponent NRFI: 76.92%
- Diamondbacks Opponent YRFI: 23.08%
Braves Lineup vs. Zac Gallen (R)
Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson show promise against right-hand pitchers like Gallen, with Albies posting a .391 wOBA and Olson a .371 wOBA, indicating potential early scoring. Marcell Ozuna’s impressive .456 wOBA and .241 ISO suggest he could exploit Gallen’s 1.11 WHIP and .80 HR/9, adding to the Braves’ NRFI/YRFI prospects. Gallen’s 25.6 K% might not be enough to silence the Braves’ bats, especially with Albies’ and Olson’s power.
| Hitter | wOBA | ISO | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (S) | 0.08 | 0 | 18.20% | 0% |
| Corbin Carroll (L) | 0.354 | 0 | 20% | 0% |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) | 0.304 | 0.273 | 31.80% | 0% |
| Christian Walker (R) | 0.221 | 0 | 25% | 0% |
| Randal Grichuk (R) | 0.416 | 0.35 | 20% | 5% |
| Eugenio Suárez (R) | 0.103 | 0 | 83.30% | 0% |
| Gabriel Moreno (R) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Alek Thomas (L) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Geraldo Perdomo (S) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Diamondbacks Lineup vs. Chris Sale (L)
Christian Walker stands out with a .369 wOBA and .272 ISO against lefties, posing a significant challenge to Chris Sale’s dominant 0.91 WHIP and 31.8 K%. Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr., despite lower wOBAs, could leverage Sale’s .63 HR/9, hinting at potential for the Diamondbacks in NRFI/YRFI betting. Sale’s high strikeout rate might be tested by the patient approaches of Marte and Carroll.
Both teams present strong NRFI/YRFI angles with key hitters showing the ability to capitalize on opposing pitchers’ vulnerabilities. Diamondbacks vs Braves NRFI/YRFI betting will likely hinge on these matchups.
| Hitter | wOBA | ISO | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (S) | 0.08 | 0 | 18.20% | 0% |
| Corbin Carroll (L) | 0.354 | 0 | 20% | 0% |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) | 0.304 | 0.273 | 31.80% | 0% |
| Christian Walker (R) | 0.221 | 0 | 25% | 0% |
| Randal Grichuk (R) | 0.416 | 0.35 | 20% | 5% |
| Eugenio Suárez (R) | 0.103 | 0 | 83.30% | 0% |
| Gabriel Moreno (R) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Alek Thomas (L) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Geraldo Perdomo (S) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
