Blue Jays vs Orioles NRFI/YRFI MLB Preview (7/31/24): Odds, Prediction & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on July 31, 2024
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Blue Jays vs. Orioles

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to play the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday, July 31, at 12:35 p.m. at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. The game features pitchers with differing NRFI records: Paolo Espino of the Blue Jays with a NRFI/YRFI record of 0-0, and Grayson Rodriguez of the Orioles with a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-7. NRFI-YRFI odds are available, with DraftKings offering YRFI at -150 and NRFI at +110. Weather for the game day is forecasted to have broken clouds with a high of 77°F.

NRFI/YRFI odds for Blue Jays vs. Orioles today

For the upcoming MLB game featuring the Blue Jays vs. Orioles, DraftKings Sportsbook lists the odds for NRFI (No Run First Inning) at +110 and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) at -150. These odds suggest that the probability of an NRFI occurring is approximately 47.6%, while the YRFI has a higher likelihood at around 60%.

  • DraftKings YRFI: -150
  • DraftKings NRFI: +110

Blue Jays vs Orioles MLB odds are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Massachusetts sportsbooks heavily favor the YRFI side of today’s game. With Paolo Espino on the hill against a potent Baltimore offense. There isn’t a lot of value on this side, given the juice. We would advise on passing, given the implied odds.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Prediction: YRFI

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Pitching Matchup

Grayson Rodriguez (R) (BAL)StatPaolo Espino (R) (TOR)
12-7NRFI/YRFI Record0-0
25.7%K%8.7%
7%BB%8.7%
1.23WHIP2.14
1.14HR/93.86

Paolo Espino for the Blue Jays has a WHIP of 2.14, striking out 8.7% of batters faced with a HR/9 rate of 3.86, and holds a NRFI/YRFI record of 0-0. Grayson Rodriguez of the Orioles counters with a WHIP of 1.23, a K% of 25.7, a HR/9 of 1.14, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 12-7. The matchup highlights Rodriguez’s stronger control and ability to limit home runs.

At home, Rodriguez maintains a WHIP of 1.14, showing effectiveness in limiting baserunners, and a solid HR/9 of 1.51 against home batters. Espino’s performance against left and right-hand hitters shows a WHIP of 1.29 and 3.00, respectively, indicating a struggle against right-hand hitters with a high HR/9 of 3.86. Rodriguez’s superior stats, especially in strikeouts and home run limitation, make the Orioles favorable in the Blue Jays vs. Orioles NRFI prediction.

Paolo Espino Split Stats

HomeStatAway
13.3%K%0%
6.7%BB%12.5%
2.62WHIP1.50
6.75HR/90.00
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
11.1%K%7.1%
11.1%BB%7.1%
1.29WHIP3.00
3.86HR/93.86

Grayson Rodriguez Split Stats

HomeStatAway
24.2%K%27.1%
5.8%BB%8%
1.14WHIP1.32
1.51HR/90.79
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
28.4%K%24.4%
7.9%BB%6.4%
1.05WHIP1.43
0.77HR/91.55

Blue Jays vs. Orioles NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Blue Jays NRFI: 77.78%
  • Blue Jays YRFI: 22.22%
  • Blue Jays Opponent NRFI: 72.22%
  • Blue Jays Opponent YRFI: 27.78%

 

  • Orioles NRFI: 73.15%
  • Orioles YRFI: 26.85%
  • Orioles Opponent NRFI: 76.85%
  • Orioles Opponent YRFI: 23.15%

Blue Jays Lineup vs. Grayson Rodriguez (R)

George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. present a solid challenge for Rodriguez, with Springer showing a .308 wOBA and Guerrero Jr. a .375 wOBA against right-hand pitchers. Spencer Horwitz and Daulton Varsho add depth, boasting .377 and .296 wOBAs respectively, indicating potential for capitalizing on Rodriguez’s pitching. The Blue Jays’ mixture of right and left-handed batters, with Horwitz and Varsho swinging from the left, could exploit Rodriguez’s performance variations against different hitter profiles.

Orioles Lineup vs. Paolo Espino (R)

Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn stand out with .403 and .355 wOBAs, respectively, against right-handed pitching, highlighting their potential to impact the game early. Anthony Santander’s .356 wOBA and significant .293 ISO suggest he could be a key player in exploiting Espino’s 2.14 WHIP and high HR/9 rate. The Orioles’ lineup, particularly with left-handed hitters like Henderson and O’Hearn, might find opportunities against Espino’s struggles this season.

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The PlayMA Editorial Team provides everything you need to know about sports betting, casinos, lottery, and all other legal gambling in Massachusetts. The content writing process for the PlayMA Editorial team includes using an AI application but is edited and fact-checked by real-life humans. No piece of content is published before human eyes take a fine-tooth comb to ensure its accuracy, reliability and trustworthiness.

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