Astros vs. Blue Jays (7/2/24): No Run First Inning/Yes Run First Inning (NRFI/YRFI)

Written By Editorial Team on July 2, 2024
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Astros vs. Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Houston Astros face the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday, July 2, at 7:07 p.m. at Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON. Spencer Arrighetti with an NRFI record of 8-5 takes the mound for the Astros against José Berríos of the Blue Jays, who has an NRFI record of 13-4. NRFI betting odds are set at -125, and YRFI odds at -110. The game day forecast predicts broken clouds with a high of 71 degrees. This information is crucial for MLB betting enthusiasts looking at the odds and making predictions on the NRFI/YRFI market.

Astros vs. Blue Jay NRFI/YRFI odds for July 2

According to DraftKings, the betting odds for the upcoming MLB game between the Astros and Blue Jays are leaning towards an NRFI, with NRFI at -125 and YRFI at -110 odds at most Massachusetts sportsbooks. These odds translate to a 55.56% probability for NRFI and a 52.38% chance for YRFI, making it a close call for bettors focusing on the early game outcome.

MLB odds are subject to change for the Astros vs. Blue Jays

Astros vs. Blue Jays NRFI/YRFI Prediction

The odds are close between a no-run first inning and a yes-run first inning tonight, with odds slightly favoring a no-run first inning. Both teams feature young, talented pitchers who hold impressive NRFI records for the season, making a NRFI probable for tonight’s Astros vs. Blue Jays game.

Astros vs. Blue Jays NRFI/YRFI Prediction: NRFI

Astros vs. Blue Jays Pitching Matchup 7/2

Spencer Arrighetti shows a promising NRFI/YRFI record of 8-5, with a WHIP of 1.60 and a K% of 24.4. His HR/9 stands at 1.11, indicating a solid ability to limit home runs. Arrighetti’s performance against right-hand hitters is notable with a lower WHIP of 1.39 and an increased K% of 24.8, suggesting an advantage in matchups against righties.

José Berríos brings a NRFI/YRFI record of 13-4 to the table, with a WHIP of 1.11 and a K% of 17.7. His HR/9 is higher at 1.56, which could be a concern. Berríos has shown strength in home games with a WHIP of 1.01 and a lower HR/9 of 0.85, indicating a potential edge in the upcoming game. Against left-hand hitters, his WHIP slightly increases to 1.02, but he maintains a decent K% of 19.2.

Both pitchers have demonstrated skills that could impact the MLB betting odds, with Arrighetti showing better strikeout capabilities and Berríos having a strong record in NRFI/YRFI decisions. Their performances against specific hitter orientations could be crucial for bettors considering NRFI/YRFI bets.

José Berríos (R) (TOR)StatSpencer Arrighetti (R) (HOU)
13-4NRFI/YRFI Record8-5
17.7%K%24.4%
6.1%BB%11.4%
1.11WHIP1.60
1.56HR/91.11

Spencer Arrighetti Split Stats

HomeStatAway
25.9%K%23%
9.5%BB%5.9%
1.39WHIP1.81
1.11HR/91.10
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
25.6%K%24.8%
14.4%BB%8.8%
1.79WHIP1.39
1.06HR/91.16

José Berríos Split Stats

HomeStatAway
17.8%K%17.7%
5.6%BB%6.5%
1.01WHIP1.21
0.85HR/92.28
vs. LeftStatvs. Right
19.2%K%17.3%
8.5%BB%3.7%
1.02WHIP1.20
1.91HR/91.14

Astros vs. Blue Jays NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Astros NRFI: 67.86%
  • Astros YRFI: 32.14%
  • Astros Opponent NRFI: 71.43%
  • Astros Opponent YRFI: 28.57%
  • Blue Jays NRFI: 83.33%
  • Blue Jays YRFI: 16.67%
  • Blue Jays Opponent NRFI: 76.19%
  • Blue Jays Opponent YRFI: 23.81%

Astros Lineup vs. José Berríos (R)

Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman show solid contact against right-hand pitching with Altuve posting a .347 wOBA and Bregman at .334, indicating potential for early runs. Yordan Alvarez brings power from the left side with a .242 ISO and .368 wOBA, challenging Berríos who has a 1.56 HR/9 rate and a WHIP of 1.11. Berríos’s struggles with home runs could be exploited by the Astros’ top hitters, making them strong contenders in MLB betting odds.

Blue Jays Lineup vs. Spencer Arrighetti (R)

Spencer Horwitz stands out with a .430 wOBA and .163 ISO against right-handed pitching, indicating potential for impactful at-bats. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., with a .367 wOBA and .165 ISO, could capitalize on Arrighetti’s 1.6 WHIP and 1.11 HR/9. Arrighetti’s higher walk rate (11.4%) might offer the Blue Jays additional base runners, impacting the game’s dynamics favorably for Toronto in terms of MLB betting odds.

Projected lineups, pitchers and stats are pulled from Sportsdata.

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